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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Le Mans — Lens

Le Mans vs Lens 2:2: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Le Mans
Le Mans
Home · last 5 L D D W L
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 15:15
2:2
Full-time
Lens
Lens
L L D L W Away · last 5
MMArena · Le Mans Referee Hakim Ben el Hadj
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 69% · book 1.49 ✓
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 46% · book 2.59 ✓
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 45% · book 2.38 ✓
Total goals
4
2 · 2
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 5.25 — +14.2% better than the market.

Le Mans hosts Lens in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors show a clear edge in recent form and attacking threat. Lens's higher points per game and superior expected goals suggest they carry momentum and offensive quality into this fixture. Le Mans's home resilience and compact defensive shape may limit the damage, but Lens's pace and goal-scoring potential hint at a lively encounter with multiple goals likely.

  • Lens's attacking pressure contrasts with Le Mans's defensive solidity
  • Recent form favors Lens's momentum
  • Odds suggest a match with a brisk tempo and goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 5.25 ✗ Lost
AI 22% Implied 19% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LE- 3-1-4-2 · LEN 3-4-2-1
LE- · 3-1-4-2 3-4-2-1 · LEN 1 Hatfout 15 Boissé 17 Yohou 5 Voyer 29 Bretelle 26 Bamba 11 Bourabaa ⚽ 10 Vercruysse 22 Calodat ⚽ 14 Mafouta 25 Guèye 40 Risser 32 Antonio 24 Gradit 22 Skóraś 2 Aguilar 5 Bulatović 27 Cuisance 14 Udol 10 Thauvin 19 Sima ⚽ 11 Édouard
Subs used · LE-
45' Sidibé ↑ · Boissé ↓
65' Lauray ↑ · Bretelle ↓
65' Traore ↑ · Vercruysse ↓
65' Diallo ↑ · Gueye ↓
77' Navarro ↑ · Yohou ↓
Subs used · LEN
45' Haidara ↑ · Cuisance ↓
45' Ivanovic ↑ · Édouard ↓
45' Mesloub ↑ · Skóraś ↓
55' Todibo ↑ · Gradit ↓
76' Hazard ↑ · Sima ↓

Statistics

LE- 2 – 2 LEN
53%
Possession (%)
47%
13
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Target
6
5
Shots off Target
6
11
Shots Inside Box
12
3
Corner Kicks
9
1
Offsides
3
17
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

19 · 2 – 2
Noa Boissé
Yellow Card
▮
15'
20'
▮
Michaël Cuisance
Yellow Card
Jean Vercruysse
Yellow Card
▮
28'
Adil Bourabaa
1–0
⚽
32'
38'
▮
Andrija Bulatović
Yellow Card
Lucas Calodat
Assist · Adil Bourabaa · 2–0
⚽
44'
45'
⇄
Amadou Haidara ↓ · Michaël Cuisance ↑
Substitution 1
Djibril Sidibé ↓ · Noa Boissé ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
45'
45'
⇄
Franjo Ivanovic ↓ · Odsonne Édouard ↑
Substitution 2
45'
⇄
Mezian Soares Mesloub ↓ · Michał Skóraś ↑
Substitution 3
45+2'
⚽
Abdallah Sima
2–1
Half-time · 2 – 1
51'
⚽
Franjo Ivanovic
Assist · Ruben Aguilar · 2–2
53'
▮
Florian Thauvin
Yellow Card
55'
⇄
Jean-Clair Todibo ↓ · Jonathan Gradit ↑
Substitution 4
Alexandre Lauray ↓ · Lucas Bretelle ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
Daouda Traore ↓ · Jean Vercruysse ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
65'
Habib Diallo ↓ · Dame Gueye ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
65'
76'
⇄
Thorgan Hazard ↓ · Abdallah Sima ↑
Substitution 5
Raul Torrente Navarro ↓ · Samuel Yohou ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
77'
Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Le Mans and Lens drew 2–2. At half-time it was 2–1.

From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Adil Bourabaa (32'), Lucas Calodat (44'), Abdallah Sima (45+2'), Franjo Ivanovic (51').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.58 units (Brier 0.161).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.49 1.49 69% Cashed +0.49 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.59 2.30 46% Cashed +1.59 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.38 2.23 45% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.55 1.55 63% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Away Win 1.60 1.62 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.39 2.39 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.24 2.50 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.25 4.88 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.17 1.18 78% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.62 1.62 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.11 1.11 86% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.02 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 4.10 4.17 23% Cashed +3.10 Cashed
AH Home 0 3.87 3.56 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.23 1.25 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.29 5.00 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.25 16.95 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.58u −9% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
LE- – LEN @ 5.25
+14.2%
Edge
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