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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lorient — Toulouse

Predictions by Market: Lorient vs Toulouse

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lorient
Lorient
Home · last 5 L W D L W
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 18:45
2:2
Full-time
Toulouse
Toulouse
D L D W D Away · last 5
Referee Aurelien Petit

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LOR
36%
Best 2.46
Draw
27%
Best 3.48
Away Win · TOU
37%
Best 3.11
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.35
Fair odds
3.06
book 3.35 · +9.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 33% · EV +9.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (67%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 36.9%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 35.7%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 27.4%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 58.4%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 41.6%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 78%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 11.1%
Odds 8.95
Show model details
Implied probability 11.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 77.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22%
Odds 3.38
Show model details
Implied probability 29.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 51.7%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.4%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 36.9%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 38.4%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 58%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64.3%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
LOR – TOU @ 3.35
+9.5%
Edge
Forecast →