Lorient vs Toulouse 2:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.35 — +9.5% better than the market.

Lorient hosts Toulouse in a Ligue 1 clash where both sides show contrasting recent form. Lorient's home momentum and slightly better recent points per game suggest a compact and disciplined approach, while Toulouse's away struggles hint at a cautious game. The matchup likely favors a low-scoring contest, with both teams showing balanced attacking and defensive traits.

Lorient’s home steadiness may limit Toulouse’s chances.
Toulouse’s away form suggests difficulty breaking down defenses.
Market odds and past meetings hint at a tight, tactical battle with under 2.5 goals probable.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.35 ✗ Lost

AI 33% Implied 30% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LOR 3-4-2-1 · TOU 4-2-3-1

LOR · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · TOU

18 Baldé ⚽

Subs used · LOR

58'

Bris ↑ ·

Katseris ↓

58'

Jensen ↑ ·

Bernardeau ↓

69'

Kone ↑ ·

Balde ↓

69'

Avom ↑ ·

Mbamba ↓

Subs used · TOU

45'

Sigur ↑ ·

Messali ↓

45'

Tengstedt ↑ ·

Hidalgo ↓

67'

Oppong ↑ ·

Azizi ↓

84'

Vossah ↑ ·

Schmidt ↓

84'

Diallo ↑ ·

Tape ↓

Statistics

LOR 2 – 2 TOU

41%

Possession (%)

59%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 2 – 2

Panos Katseris

Yellow Card

▮

17'

Ibrahima Balde

Assist · Panos Katseris · 1–0

⚽

37'

Noah Mbamba

Assist · Panos Katseris · 2–0

⚽

39'

45'

⇄

Niko Sigur ↓ · Rafik Messali ↑

Substitution 1

45'

⇄

Casper Tengstedt ↓ · Santiago Hidalgo ↑

Substitution 2

Half-time · 2 – 0

48'

⚽

Casper Tengstedt

Assist · Cristian Casseres · 2–1

Théo Le Bris ↓ · Panos Katseris ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

58'

Isak Jensen ↓ · Gabin Bernardeau ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

58'

67'

⇄

Sion Oppong ↓ · Ilyas Azizi ↑

Substitution 3

68'

⚽

Thomas Jorgensen

Assist · Cristian Casseres · 2–2

Mamadou Kone ↓ · Ibrahima Balde ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

69'

Arthur Avom ↓ · Noah Mbamba ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

69'

84'

⇄

Alexis Vossah ↓ · Niklas Schmidt ↑

Substitution 4

84'

⇄

Ismaïl Diallo ↓ · Christ Tape ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Lorient and Toulouse drew 2–2. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball.

On the scoresheet: Ibrahima Balde (37'), Noah Mbamba (39'), Casper Tengstedt (48'), Thomas Jorgensen (68').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.31 units (Brier 0.236).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.85	1.91	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.02	2.15	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.70	3.00	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.62	2.39	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.75	1.66	48%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.03	1.91	42%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.99	2.18	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.73	1.72	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.50	1.55	64%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.44	1.38	63%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.35	3.56	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	1.34	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.95	10.99	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	1.04	89%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.25	3.30	27%	Cashed	+2.25	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.30	1.25	67%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.38	3.19	22%	Cashed	+2.38	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.31u	−8% ROI

Lorient vs Toulouse 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled