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Strasbourg vs Monaco 1:1: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Home · last 5 L W W D L
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 15:15
1:1
Full-time
Monaco
Monaco
W W D W D Away · last 5
Stade de la Meinau · Strasbourg Referee Eric Wattellier
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 60% · book 1.67 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.51 ✗
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 39% · book 2.47 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.00 — +5.7% better than the market.

Strasbourg hosts Monaco in a Ligue 1 clash where home momentum and recent form contrast sharply. Strasbourg’s strong home points per game and recent wins suggest a pressing edge, while Monaco’s slightly lower away form hints at challenges breaking down a compact home block. The match could see a lively pace given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, with both sides showing signs of offensive intent.

  • Strasbourg’s home resilience and recent wins
  • Monaco’s solid but less consistent away form
  • Potential for open play and goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 3.00 ✗ Lost
AI 35% Implied 33% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

STR 1 – 1 MON
44%
Possession (%)
56%
13
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Target
3
8
Shots off Target
6
6
Shots Inside Box
7
2
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
3
9
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

11 · 1 – 1
22'
⇄
Matthis Abline ↓ · Anis Soubeir ↑
Substitution 1
Dario Essugo ↓ · Diogo Sousa ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
45'
Half-time · 0 – 0
Sadibou Sane
Own goal · 1–0
⚽
52'
Conrad Harder ↓ · Jacobo Ortega ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
69'
71'
⚽
Paris Brunner
Assist · Lamine Camara · 1–1
72'
⇄
Mathys Detourbet ↓ · Stanis Idumbo ↑
Substitution 2
Pape Demba Diop
Yellow Card
▮
78'
Samir El-Mourabet ↓ · Giovanni Reyna ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
81'
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw ↓ · Sebastian Nanasi ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
82'
90'
▮
Aleksandr Golovin
Yellow Card
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly ↓ · Gessime Yassine ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+2'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Strasbourg and Monaco drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 2.

On the scoresheet: Sadibou Sane (52'), Paris Brunner (71').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.59 units (Brier 0.167).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.67 1.73 60% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.51 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.47 2.38 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.34 2.45 40% Cashed +1.34 Cashed
BTTS No 2.40 2.53 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.15 2.07 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.33 2.53 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.65 1.56 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.00 3.34 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.40 1.35 65% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.53 1.48 62% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.51 1.62 61% Cashed +0.51 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.03 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.18 1.14 81% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Draw 3.75 3.85 25% Cashed +2.75 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.45 5.00 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 16.25 16.95 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.59u −15% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
STR – MON @ 3.00
+5.7%
Edge
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