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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Nice — Le Mans

Nice vs Le Mans 1:1: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Nice
Nice
Home · last 5 D L D L W
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 18:45
1:1
Full-time
Le Mans
Le Mans
L D D W L Away · last 5
Allianz Riviera · Nice Referee J. Pignard
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.85 ✗
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 51% · book 2.05 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 54% · book 1.80 ✓
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.85 — +12.3% better than the market.

Nice and Le Mans both show similar recent form, with neither side gaining a clear momentum edge. The match hints at an open pace given the high over 2.5 goals odds, suggesting attacking intent from both teams. Le Mans' slightly better recent points per game and higher expected goals indicate they may press with more threat, while Nice's home comfort could help them maintain a compact block.

  • Balanced form but away side's attacking edge
  • Potential for goals given offensive tendencies
  • Home side's defensive resilience at Allianz Riviera

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.85 ✗ Lost
AI 61% Implied 54% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

NIC 3-4-2-1 · LE- 3-5-2
NIC · 3-4-2-1 3-5-2 · LE- 23 Diouf 35 Mandza Tsiendi 55 Ndayishimiye 5 Abdelmonem 92 Clauss 39 Coulibaly 28 Witsel 27 Nkounkou 29 Ngoumou 10 Diop 11 Wahi ⚽ 1 Hatfout 15 Boissé 5 Voyer 16 Torrente 26 Bamba 11 Bourabaa ⚽ 8 Lauray 10 Vercruysse 22 Calodat 25 Guèye 14 Mafouta
Subs used · NIC
65' Hein ↑ · Ngoumou ↓
65' Amoura ↑ · Diop ↓
73' Mendy ↑ · Witsel ↓
73' Abdi ↑ · Nkounkou ↓
85' Camara ↑ · Clauss ↓
Subs used · LE-
61' Yohou ↑ · Navarro ↓
61' Rabillard ↑ · Vercruysse ↓
61' Diallo ↑ · Gueye ↓
70' Brahimi ↑ · Bourabaa ↓
78' Larouci ↑ · Calodat ↓

Statistics

NIC 1 – 1 LE-
59%
Possession (%)
41%
8
Total Shots
8
2
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
4
5
Shots Inside Box
2
5
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
1
4
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

16 · 1 – 1
13'
⚽
Adil Bourabaa
Assist · Jean Vercruysse · 0–1
Sepe Elye Wahi
Assist · Sofiane Diop · 1–1
⚽
44'
Half-time · 1 – 1
58'
▮
Alexandre Lauray
Yellow Card
61'
⇄
Samuel Yohou ↓ · Raul Torrente Navarro ↑
Substitution 1
61'
⇄
Antoine Rabillard ↓ · Jean Vercruysse ↑
Substitution 2
61'
⇄
Habib Diallo ↓ · Dame Gueye ↑
Substitution 3
Gauthier Hein ↓ · Nathan Ngoumou ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
65'
Mohamed Amoura ↓ · Sofiane Diop ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
70'
⇄
Bilal Brahimi ↓ · Adil Bourabaa ↑
Substitution 4
Antoine Mendy ↓ · Axel Witsel ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
73'
Ali Abdi ↓ · Niels Nkounkou ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
73'
Youssouf Ndayishimiye
Yellow Card
▮
75'
78'
⇄
Yasser Larouci ↓ · Lucas Calodat ↑
Substitution 5
82'
▮
Noa Boissé
Yellow Card
Sepe Elye Wahi
Yellow Card
▮
84'
Aboulaye Camara ↓ · Jonathan Clauss ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
85'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Nice and Le Mans drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Adil Bourabaa (13'), Sepe Elye Wahi (44').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.63 units (Brier 0.178).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.85 1.84 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.05 1.95 51% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 1.74 54% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS No 1.95 2.02 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.73 1.78 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.00 2.00 39% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.09 3.00 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.50 4.55 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.19 1.20 73% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.25 1.25 81% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.04 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 3.70 3.77 25% Cashed +2.70 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.34 3.34 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.35 1.38 61% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.74 3.80 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 10.99 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.30 1.29 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.63u −15% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
NIC – LE- @ 1.85
+12.3%
Edge
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