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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lyon — Auxerre

Lyon vs Auxerre 3:1: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lyon
Lyon
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Fri 04 Sep · 17:00
3:1
Full-time
Auxerre
Auxerre
L L L W W Away · last 5
Referee R. Buquet
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 44% · book 2.45 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 59% · book 1.80 ✓
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 41% · book 2.38 ✓
Total goals
4
3 · 1
Possession
63% – 37%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks AH Away 0 at 5.53 — +9.6% better than the market.

Lyon hosts Auxerre in a Ligue 1 clash where recent form slightly favors the home side, showing signs of resilience after a draw and a win. Auxerre's struggles on the road and Lyon's home momentum could shape a tight contest. Expect a balanced pace with both teams capable of creating chances, but Lyon's home edge and better recent results hint at a slight advantage.

  • Lyon's home form offers a pressing edge
  • Auxerre's recent losses suggest defensive vulnerabilities
  • Moderate tempo likely with goal-scoring opportunities for both

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · AH Away 0
AH Away 0 @ 5.53 ✗ Lost
AI 20% Implied 18% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LYO 4-2-3-1 · AUX 4-3-3
LYO · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · AUX 1 Greif 13 Athekame ⚽ 20 Bacher ⚽ 19 Niakhaté 16 Abner 2 Bidstrup 23 Morton 7 Nuamah ⚽ 8 Tolisso 10 Šulc 17 Openda 23 Diop 27 Sy 35 Legros 15 Makosso 92 Akpa 8 Ahamada 46 Piedfort 5 Danois 10 Namaso 9 Archer ⚽ 3 Labeau Lascary
Subs used · LYO
67' Boudache ↑ · Nuamah ↓
67' Merah ↑ · Šulc ↓
76' Tessmann ↑ · Bidstrup ↓
86' Nartey ↑ · Morton ↓
86' Kluivert ↑ · Bacher ↓
Subs used · AUX
66' Mandengue ↑ · Legros ↓
66' Ekwah ↑ · Ahamada ↓
66' Zossou ↑ · Lascary ↓
77' Faivre ↑ · Archer ↓
90+3' Dioubaté ↑ · Sy ↓

Statistics

LYO 3 – 1 AUX
63%
Possession (%)
37%
21
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
3
9
Shots off Target
4
14
Shots Inside Box
4
9
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

18 · 3 – 1
26'
▮
Arthur Piedfort
Yellow Card
Felix Bacher
Assist · Ernest Nuamah · 1–0
⚽
28'
Zachary Athekame
Assist · Loïs Openda · 2–0
⚽
31'
42'
⚽
Cameron Archer
2–1
Half-time · 2 – 1
Ernest Nuamah
Assist · Pavel Šulc · 3–1
⚽
53'
Felix Bacher
Yellow Card
▮
62'
66'
⇄
Rayan Mandengue ↓ · Elikya Legros ↑
Substitution 1
66'
⇄
Pierre Ekwah ↓ · Naouirou Ahamada ↑
Substitution 2
66'
⇄
Aristide Zossou ↓ · Remy Labeau Lascary ↑
Substitution 3
Kail Boudache ↓ · Ernest Nuamah ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
67'
Khalis Merah ↓ · Pavel Šulc ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
67'
68'
▮
Rayan Mandengue
Yellow Card
Tanner Tessmann ↓ · Mads Bidstrup ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
76'
Tyler Morton
Yellow Card
▮
77'
77'
⇄
Romain Faivre ↓ · Cameron Archer ↑
Substitution 4
Noah Teye Nartey ↓ · Tyler Morton ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
86'
Ruben Kluivert ↓ · Felix Bacher ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
90+3'
⇄
Lamfia Dioubaté ↓ · Lamine Sy ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

Lyon beat Auxerre 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 8, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Felix Bacher (28'), Zachary Athekame (31'), Cameron Archer (42'), Ernest Nuamah (53').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.29 units (Brier 0.124).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.45 2.78 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.80 1.73 59% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.38 2.38 41% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.53 1.53 64% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.49 2.49 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.95 2.03 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.75 6.99 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.16 1.10 78% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.53 1.53 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.41 1.41 59% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.21 1.17 81% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.02 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 4.27 4.74 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.53 5.52 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.19 5.00 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.50 14.93 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.19 1.12 56% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.29u −31% ROI
Value pick of the night · AH Away 0
LYO – AUX @ 5.53
+9.6%
Edge
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