Lille vs Paris Saint Germain 2:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.73 — +11.0% better than the market.

Paris Saint Germain arrive with a slight edge in recent form and a higher pre-match points per game, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite Lille's home momentum. The history between these sides shows a mix of high-scoring affairs, hinting at an open game with goal opportunities for both. The odds favor a lively encounter with over 2.5 goals likely, reflecting a pacey match where PSG's attacking threat could exploit Lille's defense.

PSG's consistent scoring record against Lille
Lille's recent win adds home confidence
Expected open play with attacking intent from both sides

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.73 ✓ Cashed

AI 64% Implied 58% +0.73u

+73%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LIL 4-2-3-1 · PSG 4-3-3

LIL · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · PSG

9 Giroud

Subs used · LIL

61'

Mukau ↑ ·

Andre ↓

61'

Perrin ↑ ·

Correia ↓

68'

Bakwa ↑ ·

Mbappe ↓

80'

Verdonk ↑ ·

Haraldsson ↓

Subs used · PSG

46'

Kvaratskhelia ↑ ·

Doue ↓

63'

Godts ↑ ·

Beraldo ↓

72'

Mayulu ↑ ·

Torres ↓

72'

Digne ↑ ·

Ruiz ↓

78'

Fernandez ↑ ·

Akliouche ↓

Statistics

LIL 2 – 2 PSG

27%

Possession (%)

73%

1.09

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.29

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

91%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

16 · 2 – 2

H. Haraldsson

Assist · O. Giroud · 1–0

⚽

21'

39'

▮

F. Ruiz

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

K. Kvaratskhelia ↓ · D. Doue ↑

Substitution 1

B. Andre

Yellow Card

▮

52'

N. Mukau ↓ · B. Andre ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

61'

G. Perrin ↓ · F. Correia ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

61'

63'

⇄

M. Godts ↓ · L. Beraldo ↑

Substitution 2

D. Bakwa ↓ · E. Mbappe ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

68'

72'

⇄

S. Mayulu ↓ · F. Torres ↑

Substitution 3

72'

⇄

L. Digne ↓ · F. Ruiz ↑

Substitution 4

78'

⇄

D. Fernandez ↓ · M. Akliouche ↑

Substitution 5

C. Verdonk ↓ · H. Haraldsson ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

80'

D. Bakwa

Assist · O. Giroud · 2–0

⚽

84'

90+1'

⚽

Vitinha

Assist · M. Godts · 2–1

R. Perraud

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

90+5'

⚽

Marquinhos

Assist · Vitinha · 2–2

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Lille and Paris Saint Germain drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 73% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 9, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 0. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: H. Haraldsson (21'), D. Bakwa (84'), Vitinha (90+1'), Marquinhos (90+5').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.43 units (Brier 0.165).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.73	1.80	64%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.72	2.88	43%	Cashed	+1.72	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.68	1.75	64%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.10	2.10	47%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Away Win	1.72	1.67	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.15	2.05	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.12	1.99	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.21	1.18	77%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.44	1.40	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.47	5.13	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	1.22	84%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	1.03	95%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	3.90	3.95	24%	Cashed	+2.90	Cashed
AH Home 0	3.37	3.68	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.33	4.00	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.29	1.25	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	12.05	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.43u	−8% ROI

Lille vs Paris Saint Germain 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled