🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 64% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 64%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Paris Saint Germain arrive with a slight edge in recent form and a higher pre-match points per game, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite Lille's home momentum. The history between these sides shows a mix of high-scoring affairs, hinting at an open game with goal opportunities for both. The odds favor a lively encounter with over 2.5 goals likely, reflecting a pacey match where PSG's attacking threat could exploit Lille's defense.
- PSG's consistent scoring record against Lille
- Lille's recent win adds home confidence
- Expected open play with attacking intent from both sides
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 53% | Paris Saint Germain win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 64% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 64% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 77% | X2 |
- 1X2 Paris Saint Germain win 53%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64%
- BTTS Yes 64%
- Double Chance X2 77%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Lille
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
5 / 3
Avg goals / match
1.6
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
3/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
0/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
xG (for / against)
1.32 / 0.78
Paris Saint Germain
W/D/L
2-2-1
Goals (for / against)
7 / 5
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.33 / 1.27
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Lille wins when scoring first
80%
①
Paris Saint Germain wins when scoring first
67%
⚽
Lille BTTS rate · last 10
20%
⚽
Paris Saint Germain BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Lille Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
↑
Paris Saint Germain Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Lille comeback rate · last 10
50%
↩
Paris Saint Germain comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Lille · last 10 at home
0–15
11%
16–30
11%
31–45
11%
46–60
22%
61–75
22%
76–90
22%
Paris Saint Germain · last 10 away
0–15
5%
16–30
10%
31–45
25%
46–60
15%
61–75
15%
76–90
30%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.
