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Home France Ligue 1 Auxerre — Angers

Preview Auxerre vs Angers August 29, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Auxerre
Auxerre
Home · last 5 L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Angers
Angers
L Away · last 5
Referee H. Ben El Hadj Salem
Home Win · AUX
46%
Best 1.98
Draw
26%
Best 3.67
Away Win · ANG
28%
Best 4.21

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 61% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 58%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Auxerre and Angers both enter this Ligue 1 clash on the back of recent losses, suggesting a cautious start. Auxerre's home momentum is limited by their form, while Angers show slightly better consistency overall. The odds hint at a moderately open game with a decent chance of goals, supported by historical encounters favoring Auxerre's attacking edge.

  • Home side's pressing and set-piece threat could unlock the defense.
  • Angers' resilience may keep the match competitive.
  • Expect a balanced tempo with goal-scoring opportunities on both ends.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 46% Auxerre win
Over/Under 2.5 58% Over 2.5
BTTS 61% Yes
Double Chance 72% 1X
  • 1X2 Auxerre win 46%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58%
  • BTTS Yes 61%
  • Double Chance 1X 72%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Auxerre
W/D/L 3-0-2
Goals (for / against) 11 / 10
Avg goals / match 4.2
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.14 / 2.36
Angers
W/D/L 0-2-3
Goals (for / against) 3 / 10
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-2
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.18 / 1.83

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2
Goals Scored
0
5
Goals Conceded
2
1.79
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
4
Shots on Target
2
7
Corners
8
47
Possession (%)
57
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
67
DEF · home
56
78
OFF · away
11
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Auxerre wins when scoring first
60%
Angers wins when scoring first
Auxerre BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Angers BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Auxerre Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Angers Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
Auxerre comeback rate · last 10
0%
Angers comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Auxerre · last 10 at home

0–15 8%
16–30 15%
31–45 15%
46–60 15%
61–75 31%
76–90 15%

Angers · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 13%
46–60 50%
61–75 25%
76–90 13%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

L. Sy
AUX · Defender
1 G · 1.00 g/90
D. Namaso
AUX · Attacker
1 G