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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Auxerre — Angers

Auxerre vs Angers 1:3: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Auxerre
Auxerre
Home · last 5 L L L W W
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 18:45
1:3
Full-time
Angers
Angers
W L D W L Away · last 5
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps · Auxerre Referee H. Ben El Hadj Salem
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 58% · book 2.10 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 61% · book 1.87 ✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 56% · book 1.74 ✓
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
1.29 – 1.64
Δ −0.35
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.87 — +14.3% better than the market.

Auxerre and Angers both enter this Ligue 1 clash on the back of recent losses, suggesting a cautious start. Auxerre's home momentum is limited by their form, while Angers show slightly better consistency overall. The odds hint at a moderately open game with a decent chance of goals, supported by historical encounters favoring Auxerre's attacking edge.

  • Home side's pressing and set-piece threat could unlock the defense.
  • Angers' resilience may keep the match competitive.
  • Expect a balanced tempo with goal-scoring opportunities on both ends.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.87 ✓ Cashed
AI 61% Implied 53% +0.87u
+87%
ROI on stake

Lineups

AUX 4-3-3 · ANG 4-2-3-1
Subs used · AUX
61' Oppegard ↑ · Labeau Lascary ↓
62' Zossou ↑ · Legros ↓
71' Bair ↑ · Namaso ↓
71' Casimir ↑ · Faivre ↓
80' Dioubate ↑ · Piedfort ↓
Subs used · ANG
67' Peter ↑ · Allevinah ↓
68' Djibirin ↑ · Bermont ↓
81' Simbakoli ↑ · Sbai ↓
87' Louer ↑ · Arcus ↓
88' Diatta ↑ · El Ouazzani ↓

Statistics

AUX 1 – 3 ANG
60%
Possession (%)
40%
1.29
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.64
19
Total Shots
15
7
Shots on Target
6
9
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
11
7
Corner Kicks
10
1
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
6
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
3
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match events

19 · 1 – 3
5'
⚽
B. van den Boomen
0–1
28'
▮
B. van den Boomen
Yellow Card
R. Labeau Lascary
Assist · R. Faivre · 1–1
⚽
35'
Half-time · 1 – 1
E. Legros
Yellow Card
▮
50'
F. Oppegard ↓ · R. Labeau Lascary ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
61'
A. Zossou ↓ · E. Legros ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
62'
67'
⇄
P. Peter ↓ · J. Allevinah ↑
Substitution 1
68'
⇄
H. Djibirin ↓ · A. Bermont ↑
Substitution 2
70'
⚽
H. Djibirin
Assist · A. El Ouazzani · 1–2
T. Bair ↓ · D. Namaso ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
71'
J. Casimir ↓ · R. Faivre ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
71'
78'
⚽
A. El Ouazzani
Assist · O. Camara · 1–3
L. Dioubate ↓ · A. Piedfort ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
80'
81'
⇄
U. Simbakoli ↓ · A. Sbai ↑
Substitution 3
87'
⇄
M. Louer ↓ · C. Arcus ↑
Substitution 4
88'
⇄
B. Diatta ↓ · A. El Ouazzani ↑
Substitution 5
C. Akpa
Yellow Card
▮
90+3'
90+3'
▮
P. Peter
Yellow Card
S. Diomande
Yellow Card
▮
90+4'
Full-time · 1 – 3

Match recap

Angers won 3–1 away at Auxerre. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 15, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 7. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: B. van den Boomen (5'), R. Labeau Lascary (35'), H. Djibirin (70'), A. El Ouazzani (78').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.67 units (Brier 0.218).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 2.10 2.00 58% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.87 1.81 61% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.74 1.74 56% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
Home Win 1.91 2.05 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.73 1.84 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.86 1.93 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.66 3.40 39% Cashed +2.66 Cashed
Away Win 3.95 3.80 28% Cashed +2.95 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.35 1.31 80% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.24 1.25 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.97 2.70 28% Cashed +1.97 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.43 1.49 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.05 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.09 3.40 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.45 3.40 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.26 1.30 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 9.01 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +1.67u +10% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
AUX – ANG @ 1.87
+14.3%
Edge
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