P
Prognosist
P
Home France Ligue 1 Rennes — Le Mans

Preview Rennes vs Le Mans August 30, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Rennes
Rennes
Home · last 5 D
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 15:15
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Le Mans
Le Mans
D Away · last 5
Roazhon Park · Rennes Referee R. Lissorgue
Home Win · REN
59%
Best 1.48
Draw
21%
Best 5.00
Away Win · LE-
20%
Best 7.21

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Rennes to win — 59% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 55%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Rennes hosts Le Mans in a Ligue 1 clash where both sides show similar recent form, each drawing their last five matches. Rennes enjoys a mild home edge, likely to press with intensity at Roazhon Park, while Le Mans' slightly better recent points per game hints at resilience on the road. Expect a tactical battle with cautious approaches and a moderate tempo, as odds suggest a low-scoring game.

  • Home momentum could spark early pressure
  • Le Mans' defensive discipline may limit chances
  • Under 2.5 goals likely given balanced form and cautious play

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 59% Rennes win
Over/Under 2.5 56% Over 2.5
BTTS 55% Yes
Double Chance 80% 1X
  • 1X2 Rennes win 59%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56%
  • BTTS Yes 55%
  • Double Chance 1X 80%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Rennes
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 9 / 11
Avg goals / match 4.0
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 5/5
Over 2.5 5/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.53 / 2.24
Le Mans
W/D/L 0-1-0
Goals (for / against) 2 / 2
Avg goals / match 4.0
Scored in 1/1
Clean sheets 0/1
Both teams scored 1/1
Over 2.5 1/1
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-0
xG (for / against) 0.69 / 1.65

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
2
1.07
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
3
Shots on Target
5
0
Corners
0
31
Possession (%)
51
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
44
OFF · home
22
11
DEF · home
33
OFF · away
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Rennes wins when scoring first
60%
Le Mans wins when scoring first
Rennes BTTS rate · last 10
80%
Le Mans BTTS rate · last 1
100%
Rennes Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
Le Mans Over 2.5 · last 1
100%
Rennes comeback rate · last 10
0%
Le Mans comeback rate · last 1

🔥 Goal timing

Rennes · last 10 at home

0–15 15%
16–30 15%
31–45 15%
46–60 8%
61–75 23%
76–90 23%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

S. Szymański
REN · Midfielder
1 G
E. Lepaul
REN · Attacker
1 G · 1.00 g/90
L. Mafouta
LE- · Attacker
1 G
D. Guèye
LE- · Attacker
1 G