🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 71% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 67%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Monaco and Marseille both enter this Ligue 1 clash on winning runs, suggesting a lively contest at Stade Louis II. The home side enjoys a mild edge from their home comfort, while Marseille's recent form and resilience hint at a balanced battle. Expect a dynamic game with chances at both ends, supported by the market's lean towards over 2.5 goals and a generally open tempo.
- Home momentum vs away resilience
- Balanced attacking and defensive matchups
- Potential for an open, goal-rich encounter
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 38% | Marseille win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 71% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 67% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 63% | X2 |
- 1X2 Marseille win 38%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71%
- BTTS Yes 67%
- Double Chance X2 63%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Monaco
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
9 / 9
Avg goals / match
3.6
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
xG (for / against)
0.99 / 1.04
Marseille
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
9 / 5
Avg goals / match
2.8
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
xG (for / against)
1.96 / 1.66
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Monaco wins when scoring first
60%
①
Marseille wins when scoring first
71%
⚽
Monaco BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
Marseille BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Monaco Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↑
Marseille Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Monaco comeback rate · last 10
33%
↩
Marseille comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Monaco · last 10 at home
0–15
0%
16–30
22%
31–45
11%
46–60
33%
61–75
17%
76–90
17%
Marseille · last 10 away
0–15
0%
16–30
40%
31–45
20%
46–60
20%
61–75
0%
76–90
20%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.
