Monaco vs Marseille 2:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.52 — +7.9% better than the market.

Monaco and Marseille both enter this Ligue 1 clash on winning runs, suggesting a lively contest at Stade Louis II. The home side enjoys a mild edge from their home comfort, while Marseille's recent form and resilience hint at a balanced battle. Expect a dynamic game with chances at both ends, supported by the market's lean towards over 2.5 goals and a generally open tempo.

Home momentum vs away resilience
Balanced attacking and defensive matchups
Potential for an open, goal-rich encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.52 ✗ Lost

AI 71% Implied 66% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

MON 4-2-3-1 · MAR 4-2-3-1

MON · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · MAR

29 Brunner ⚽

Subs used · MON

81'

Abline ↑ ·

Golovin ↓

81'

Soubeir ↑ ·

Coulibaly ↓

81'

Biereth ↑ ·

Brunner ↓

85'

Detourbet ↑ ·

Idumbo ↓

Subs used · MAR

46'

Nnadi ↑ ·

Abdelli ↓

46'

Abdallah ↑ ·

Timber ↓

58'

Aguerd ↑ ·

Kondogbia ↓

73'

Maupay ↑ ·

Nnadi ↓

85'

Moumbagna ↑ ·

Gomes ↓

Statistics

MON 2 – 0 MAR

35%

Possession (%)

65%

1.49

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.22

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

91%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 2 – 0

P. Brunner

Assist · A. Golovin · 1–0

⚽

13'

D. Zakaria

Yellow Card

▮

42'

L. Camara

Yellow Card

▮

43'

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

T. Nnadi ↓ · H. Abdelli ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

K. Abdallah ↓ · Q. Timber ↑

Substitution 2

P. Brunner

Assist · E. Dier · 2–0

⚽

53'

58'

⇄

N. Aguerd ↓ · G. Kondogbia ↑

Substitution 3

73'

⇄

N. Maupay ↓ · T. Nnadi ↑

Substitution 4

M. Abline ↓ · A. Golovin ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

81'

A. Soubeir ↓ · M. Coulibaly ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

81'

M. Biereth ↓ · P. Brunner ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

81'

M. Detourbet ↓ · S. Idumbo ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

85'

⇄

F. Moumbagna ↓ · A. Gomes ↑

Substitution 5

Nazinho

Yellow Card

▮

88'

L. Hradecky

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Monaco beat Marseille 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 65% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: P. Brunner (13'), P. Brunner (53').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.05 units (Brier 0.229).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.44	2.50	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.15	3.15	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.20	2.20	41%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
BTTS No	2.59	2.50	33%	Cashed	+1.59	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.60	1.53	49%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.33	2.33	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.65	1.64	41%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.38	2.30	29%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.52	1.62	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.65	1.64	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.36	1.36	67%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.45	1.49	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.15	1.17	87%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	1.02	96%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	3.77	3.65	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.83	4.50	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	16.50	14.93	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.05u	−18% ROI

Monaco vs Marseille 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled