Match Venezia vs Lecce August 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 4.22 — +10.8% better than the market.

This Serie A opener between Venezia and Lecce hints at a cautious tempo, with odds favoring a tight, low-scoring affair. Both sides lack recent form data, suggesting early-season rust and tactical adjustments. Venezia’s home advantage might offer a slight edge, but expect compact defensive setups limiting clear chances.

Likely conservative approach from both teams
Home side’s slight edge in familiarity and conditions
Market signals lean towards under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 4.22 ✓ Cashed

AI 26% Implied 24% +3.22u

+322%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

VEN 3-5-2 · LEC 4-3-3

VEN · 3-5-2 4-3-3 · LEC

10 Yeboah

Subs used · VEN

64'

Haps ↑ ·

Rendall ↓

70'

Dagasso ↑ ·

Perez ↓

85'

Sagrado ↑ ·

Hainaut ↓

85'

Rrahmani ↑ ·

Basic ↓

Subs used · LEC

46'

Ndaba ↑ ·

Gallo ↓

61'

Maleh ↑ ·

Gorter ↓

74'

Gabriel ↑ ·

Ndri ↓

74'

Stulic ↑ ·

Geubbels ↓

90+1'

Gandelman ↑ ·

Pierotti ↓

📊 Statistics

VEN 0 – 2 LEC

71%

Possession (%)

29%

2.10

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.21

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

72%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 0 – 2

▮

K. Gaspar

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

C. Ndaba ↓ · A. Gallo ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⚽

O. Gorter

Assist · L. Coulibaly · 0–1

59'

▮

O. Ngom

Yellow Card

61'

⇄

Y. Maleh ↓ · O. Gorter ↑

Substitution 2

R. Haps ↓ · T. Rendall ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

M. Dagasso ↓ · K. Perez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

70'

71'

▮

D. Veiga

Yellow Card

74'

⇄

Tiago Gabriel ↓ · K. Ndri ↑

Substitution 3

74'

⇄

N. Stulic ↓ · W. Geubbels ↑

Substitution 4

M. Dagasso

Yellow Card

▮

78'

80'

⚽

Tiago Gabriel

0–2

R. Sagrado ↓ · A. Hainaut ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

85'

A. Rrahmani ↓ · T. Basic ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

85'

90+1'

⇄

O. Gandelman ↓ · S. Pierotti ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Lecce won 2–0 away at Venezia. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 71% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 12, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: O. Gorter (46'), Tiago Gabriel (80').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.86 units (Brier 0.208).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.67	1.67	57%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.20	2.20	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.84	1.82	51%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.91	1.93	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.00	2.00	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.94	2.93	26%	Cashed	+1.94	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.43	1.43	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.91	3.00	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.80	1.80	54%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Draw	3.20	3.23	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.22	4.22	26%	Cashed	+3.22	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.39	1.37	68%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.23	1.22	76%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.93	4.00	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.24	1.23	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	1.06	88%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.00	8.00	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.86u	−5% ROI