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Home › Italy › Serie A › Atalanta — Venezia

Prediction: Atalanta vs Venezia, October 12

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 W W L L L
Kick-off
Mon 12 Oct · 16:30
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Venezia
Venezia
L L L L L Away · last 5
New Balance Arena · Bergamo Referee Paride Tremolada

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ATA
64%
Best 1.63
Draw
22%
Best 4.28
Away Win · VEN
14%
Best 5.97

Model verdict

Model leans toward Atalanta to win — 64% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 64% Atalanta win
Over/Under 2.5 50% Over 2.5
BTTS 52% No
Double Chance 86% 1X
  • 1X2 Atalanta win 64%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50%
  • BTTS No 52%
  • Double Chance 1X 86%
Open betting analysis

Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Atalanta
W/D/L 2-0-3
Goals (for / against) 5 / 7
Avg goals / match 2.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 0.69 / 1.62
Venezia
W/D/L 0-0-5
Goals (for / against) 4 / 13
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 2/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-0-3
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.38 / 2.32

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
0.80
1.40
Goals Conceded
2.60
0.55
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
3.40
Shots on Target
4.60
2.80
Corners
3.80
48.20
Possession (%)
57.20
106.70
Efficiency index
85.02
75.79
Adjusted index
68.16
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
5
OFF · home
55
35
DEF · home
10
15
OFF · away
60
30
DEF · away
5
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Atalanta wins when scoring first
75%
①
Venezia wins when scoring first
20%
⚽
Atalanta BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Venezia BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Atalanta Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
Venezia Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
Atalanta comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Venezia comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Atalanta · last 10 at home

0–15 18%
16–30 9%
31–45 18%
46–60 0%
61–75 27%
76–90 27%

Venezia · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 13%
46–60 0%
61–75 50%
76–90 37%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

N. Krstović
ATA · Attacker
1 G · 0.93 g/90
G. Raspadori
ATA · Attacker
1 G
A. Hainaut
VEN · Midfielder
1 G · 0.25 g/90