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Home Italy Serie A Venezia — Lecce

Predictions Venezia vs Lecce August 23, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Venezia
Venezia
Home · last 5 L
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 16:30
0:2
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
W Away · last 5
Referee A. Rapuano
Home Win · VEN
46%
Best 2.05
Draw
28%
Best 3.35
Away Win · LEC
26%
Best 4.34
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.22
Fair odds
3.81
book 4.22 · +10.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +10.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (46%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 45.9%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 27.8%
Odds 3.20
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Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 26.3%
Odds 4.22
Show model details
Implied probability 23.7%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 32.3%
Odds 2.91
Show model details
Implied probability 34.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 67.8%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 72.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.93
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11.6%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51%
Odds 1.84
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Implied probability 54.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 49%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 26.3%
Odds 2.94
Show model details
Implied probability 34.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 45.9%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 81%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
VEN – LEC @ 4.22
+10.8%
Edge
Forecast →