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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Leeds — Chelsea

Match Leeds vs Chelsea December 3, 2025

Leeds
Leeds
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Wed 03 Dec · 20:15
3:1
Full-time
Chelsea
Chelsea
L L D W L Away · last 5
Elland Road · Leeds Referee Darren England, England
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 61% · book 1.81
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.89
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 56% · book 1.80
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
2.82 – 1.10
Δ +1.72
Possession
29% – 71%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Chelsea arrive at Elland Road with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite Leeds' home momentum. Chelsea's stronger attack against Leeds' vulnerable defense could unlock chances, while Leeds' defensive resilience may limit the visitors' efficiency.

  • Leeds' recent struggles contrast with Chelsea's upward trend.
  • Chelsea's offensive pressure likely to test Leeds' backline.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline over wild open play.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LEE 3-5-2 · CHE 4-2-3-1
Subs used · LEE
67' Okafor ↑ · Nmecha
67' Gruev ↑ · Tanaka
86' Piroe ↑ · Calvert-Lewin
87' Justin ↑ · Bogle
90+4' Bornauw ↑ · Gudmundsson
Subs used · CHE
46' Neto ↑ · Estêvão
46' Gusto ↑ · Badiashile
61' Palmer ↑ · Delap
61' Garnacho ↑ · Gittens
77' Guiu ↑ · Santos

📊 Statistics

LEE 31 CHE
29%
Possession (%)
71%
2.82
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.10
17
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
2
10
Shots off Target
7
11
Shots Inside Box
10
4
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
13
71%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

16 · 3 – 1
J. Bijol
Assist · A. Stach · 1–0
6'
Anton Stach
Yellow Card
35'
39'
Estêvão
Yellow Card
A. Tanaka
Assist · J. Bogle · 2–0
43'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
P. Neto ↓ · Estêvão ↑
Substitution 1
46'
M. Gusto ↓ · B. Badiashile ↑
Substitution 2
50'
P. Neto
Assist · J. Gittens · 2–1
61'
C. Palmer ↓ · L. Delap ↑
Substitution 3
61'
A. Garnacho ↓ · J. Gittens ↑
Substitution 4
N. Okafor ↓ · L. Nmecha ↑
Substitution 1
67'
I. Gruev ↓ · A. Tanaka ↑
Substitution 2
67'
D. Calvert-Lewin
3–1
72'
77'
M. Guiu ↓ · Andrey Santos ↑
Substitution 5
J. Piroe ↓ · D. Calvert-Lewin ↑
Substitution 3
86'
J. Justin ↓ · J. Bogle ↑
Substitution 4
87'
S. Bornauw ↓ · G. Gudmundsson ↑
Substitution 5
90+4'
Full-time · 3 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.81 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.89 55% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 56% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS No 2.14 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.06 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.14 39% Cashed +1.14 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.20 33% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.25 84% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.38 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.28 78% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.06 94% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 4.11 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.06 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.20 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.57 16% Cashed +3.57 Cashed
AH Home 0 3.26 16% Cashed +2.26 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +2.20u +13% ROI