FC Augsburg vs Bayern München 2:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 7.00 — +4.8% better than the market.

Bayern München enter this clash with a clear quality edge and strong away form, while FC Augsburg shows signs of resilience at home. Bayern's solid defensive setup could challenge Augsburg's attacking attempts, but Augsburg's recent momentum and higher expected goals hint at a lively contest. The match may see a moderate tempo given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, suggesting chances for both sides.

Bayern's defensive strength vs Augsburg's offense
Home momentum for Augsburg
Moderate goal environment expected

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 7.00 ✓ Cashed

AI 15% Implied 14% +6.00u

+600%

ROI on stake

Statistics

AUG 2 – 2 BAY

30%

Possession (%)

70%

2.45

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

5.10

12

Total Shots

30

5

Shots on Target

10

4

Shots off Target

11

10

Shots Inside Box

17

5

Corner Kicks

9

1

Offsides

4

10

Fouls

6

3

Yellow Cards

0

8

Goalkeeper Saves

3

Match events

15 · 2 – 2

Robin Fellhauer

1–0

⚽

1'

Chrislain Matsima

Yellow Card

▮

42'

Rodrigo Ribeiro

Yellow Card

▮

43'

Half-time · 1 – 0

55'

⚽

Ismael Saibari

Assist · Harry Kane · 1–1

Hennes Behrens

Yellow Card

▮

62'

Anton Kade ↓ · Seol Young-woo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

62'

Rodrigo Ribeiro

2–1

⚽

64'

67'

⇄

Nathaniel Brown ↓ · Josip Stanišić ↑

Substitution 1

67'

⇄

Serge Gnabry ↓ · Ismael Saibari ↑

Substitution 2

Mert Kömür ↓ · Rodrigo Ribeiro ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

75'

80'

⚽

Nathaniel Brown

Assist · Harry Kane · 2–2

Michael Gregoritsch ↓ · Arijon Ibrahimovic ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

82'

Jeffrey Gouweleeuw ↓ · Juma Bah ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

82'

87'

⇄

Tom Bischof ↓ · Aleksandar Pavlović ↑

Substitution 3

87'

⇄

Lennart Karl ↓ · Luis Díaz ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

FC Augsburg and Bayern München drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 70% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 5.10 to 2.45. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 30 shots to 12, 10 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 5. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Robin Fellhauer (1'), Ismael Saibari (55'), Rodrigo Ribeiro (64'), Nathaniel Brown (80').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +2.23 units (Brier 0.218).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	2.88	3.19	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	13.50	14.93	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	5.08	5.99	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.06	1.05	93%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Away Win	1.22	1.18	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.40	1.43	67%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
BTTS No	2.81	2.72	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.06	1.05	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	7.00	9.01	15%	Cashed	+6.00	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.04	1.03	90%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	4.20	5.00	22%	Cashed	+3.20	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.14	1.10	76%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Over 3.5	1.39	1.36	58%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Home Win	10.00	12.50	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	6.35	8.13	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	+2.23u	+15% ROI

FC Augsburg vs Bayern München 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled