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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FC Augsburg — Bayern München

Predictions by Market: FC Augsburg vs Bayern München

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
Home · last 5 W W D L D
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 13:30
2:2
Full-time
Bayern München
Bayern München
W D W W D Away · last 5
WWK Arena · Augsburg Referee Sven Jablonski

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · AUG
7%
Best 13.50
Draw
15%
Best 9.05
Away Win · BAY
78%
Best 1.20
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.00
Fair odds
6.68
book 7.00 · +4.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 15% · EV +4.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (78%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 78%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 15%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 7%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 9.7%
Odds 13.50
Show model details
Implied probability 7.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 24.3%
Odds 5.08
Show model details
Implied probability 19.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 90.3%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 75.7%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 88.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 32.6%
Odds 2.81
Show model details
Implied probability 35.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 78%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 7%
Odds 6.35
Show model details
Implied probability 15.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 22%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
AUG – BAY @ 7.00
+4.8%
Edge
Forecast →