1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV 2:3

Post-match · 90 sec read

1899 Hoffenheim hold a clear quality edge and home momentum against Hamburger SV, who struggle for form and points. Hoffenheim's attacking strength outmatches HSV's defense, suggesting control in the final third. The home side's compact block and pressing edge could stifle HSV's limited offensive threat, while the pace hints at a moderately open game but not high-scoring.

Home advantage with solid defensive shape
Superior attacking efficiency for Hoffenheim
HSV's recent form and scoring struggles

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

HOF 4-2-3-1 · HAM 3-4-2-1

HOF · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · HAM

19 Lemperle

Subs used · HOF

63'

Kramarić ↑ ·

Asllani ↓

63'

Hložek ↑ ·

Lemperle ↓

74'

Hranáč ↑ ·

Machida ↓

74'

Prass ↑ ·

Daghim ↓

87'

Gendrey ↑ ·

Conté ↓

Subs used · HAM

41'

Muheim ↑ ·

Remberg ↓

59'

Stange ↑ ·

Poulsen ↓

76'

Lelesiit ↑ ·

Lemke ↓

76'

Moffi ↑ ·

Adeline ↓

76'

Amoako ↑ ·

Lokonga ↓

Statistics

HOF 2 – 3 HAM

64%

Possession (%)

36%

1.09

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.27

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

18 · 2 – 3

12'

⚽

Yussuf Poulsen

0–1

41'

⇄

Miro Muheim ↓ · Nicolai Remberg ↑

Substitution 1

Sebastiaan Bornauw

Own goal · 1–1

⚽

45+6'

Half-time · 1 – 1

Bambasé Conté

Assist · Fisnik Asllani · 2–1

⚽

53'

Bernardo Fernandes da Silva Junior

Yellow Card

▮

55'

59'

⇄

Otto Emerson Stange ↓ · Yussuf Poulsen ↑

Substitution 2

Andrej Kramarić ↓ · Fisnik Asllani ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

Adam Hložek ↓ · Tim Lemperle ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

Bernardo Fernandes da Silva Junior

Red Card

▮

65'

Robin Hranáč ↓ · Koki Machida ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

74'

Alexander Prass ↓ · Adam Daghim ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

74'

76'

⇄

Alexander Rossing Lelesiit ↓ · Louis Pepe Lemke ↑

Substitution 3

76'

⇄

Terem Moffi ↓ · Martin Adeline ↑

Substitution 4

76'

⇄

Kofi Jeremy Amoako ↓ · Albert Sambi Lokonga ↑

Substitution 5

Leon Avdullahu

Yellow Card

▮

80'

83'

⚽

Terem Moffi

Assist · Miro Muheim · 2–2

Valentin Gendrey ↓ · Bambasé Conté ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

87'

90+4'

⚽

Miro Muheim

2–3

Full-time · 2 – 3

Match recap

Hamburger SV won 3–2 away at 1899 Hoffenheim. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.27 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: Yussuf Poulsen (12'), Sebastiaan Bornauw (45+6'), Bambasé Conté (53'), Terem Moffi (83'), Miro Muheim (90+4'). Bernardo Fernandes da Silva Junior was sent off in the 65' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +7.27 units (Brier 0.389).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.25	2.35	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.88	1.84	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.62	1.56	48%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.00	2.00	38%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.94	3.00	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.18	6.49	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.10	1.11	91%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.36	1.40	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	3.00	2.79	28%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.12	1.14	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.25	4.85	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.09	1.10	75%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.38	1.39	58%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Away Win	7.50	6.99	9%	Cashed	+6.50	Cashed
AH Away 0	5.68	5.29	9%	Cashed	+4.68	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	+7.27u	+48% ROI

1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV 2:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled