Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig 2:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.93 — +11.9% better than the market.

RB Leipzig enter this clash with a clear quality edge and recent momentum, having won three of their last five. Their offensive strength challenges Leverkusen's defense, which has shown some vulnerability. Meanwhile, Leverkusen's home edge is moderate but their form is less convincing, suggesting Leipzig's pressing and tactical discipline could tilt the balance.

Leipzig's sharper attack meets a leaky home defense
Leverkusen's home advantage is present but limited
Recent form favors Leipzig's confidence and rhythm

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.93 ✓ Cashed

AI 58% Implied 52% +0.93u

+93%

ROI on stake

Lineups

BAY 3-4-2-1 · LEI 4-3-3

BAY · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · LEI

14 Schick ⚽

Subs used · BAY

72'

Andrich ↑ ·

Carballo ↓

77'

Kofane ↑ ·

Schick ↓

89'

Vázquez ↑ ·

Diaby ↓

Subs used · LEI

26'

Gomis ↑ ·

Gruda ↓

67'

Maksimović ↑ ·

Cruz ↓

67'

Seiwald ↑ ·

Banzuzi ↓

84'

Konaté ↑ ·

Nkunku ↓

84'

Henrichs ↑ ·

Baku ↓

Statistics

BAY 2 – 0 LEI

51%

Possession (%)

49%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 2 – 0

11'

▮

Antonio Nusa

Yellow Card

26'

⇄

Tidiam Gomis ↓ · Brajan Gruda ↑

Substitution 1

Patrik Schick

Assist · Miguel Gutiérrez · 1–0

⚽

44'

Half-time · 1 – 0

Miguel Gutiérrez

2–0

⚽

57'

67'

⇄

Andrija Maksimović ↓ · Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz ↑

Substitution 2

67'

⇄

Nicolas Seiwald ↓ · Ezechiel Banzuzi ↑

Substitution 3

Robert Andrich ↓ · Ignacio Ezequiel Agustín Fernández Carballo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

72'

74'

▮

Neil El Aynaoui

Yellow Card

Christian Kofane ↓ · Patrik Schick ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

77'

Edmond Tapsoba

Yellow Card

▮

82'

84'

⇄

Samba Konaté ↓ · Christopher Nkunku ↑

Substitution 4

84'

⇄

Benjamin Henrichs ↓ · Ridle Baku ↑

Substitution 5

Lucas Vázquez ↓ · Moussa Diaby ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

89'

90+1'

▮

Benjamin Henrichs

Yellow Card

Afonso Moreira

Yellow Card

▮

90+1'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Bayer Leverkusen beat RB Leipzig 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 12, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 6. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Patrik Schick (44'), Miguel Gutiérrez (57').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -1.06 units (Brier 0.236).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.93	2.00	58%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.87	1.91	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.63	2.71	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	1.96	1.80	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.93	1.86	41%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
Under 2.5	3.20	3.40	37%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
BTTS No	2.97	3.23	36%	Cashed	+1.97	Cashed
Away Win	3.35	3.50	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.20	8.00	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.30	1.30	64%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.52	1.49	41%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Draw	4.00	4.27	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.09	1.07	82%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.36	1.32	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.35	1.30	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−1.06u	−7% ROI

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled