SV Elversberg vs Bayern München 1:2

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 7.21 — +10.5% better than the market.

SV Elversberg shows strong home momentum with perfect recent form and higher expected goals, suggesting they can challenge Bayern München despite the latter's reputation. The home side's attacking edge and solid form contrast with Bayern's more modest recent results, hinting at a competitive match. Expect a tactical battle where Elversberg's pressing and confidence at home could disrupt Bayern's rhythm.

Home momentum and higher xG
Compact defensive setup from Bayern
Potential for a lively, open game given the odds favoring goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 7.21 ✗ Lost

AI 15% Implied 14% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ELV 4-2-3-1 · BAY 4-2-3-1

ELV · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · BAY

42 Mokwa

Subs used · ELV

11'

Darvich ↑ ·

Onyeka ↓

45'

Krattenmacher ↑ ·

Campbell ↓

73'

Condé ↑ ·

Keidel ↓

73'

Futkeu ↑ ·

Mokwa ↓

83'

Schnellbacher ↑ ·

Petkov ↓

Subs used · BAY

65'

Davies ↑ ·

Brown ↓

65'

Kimmich ↑ ·

Bischof ↓

65'

Díaz ↑ ·

Saibari ↓

65'

Musiala ↑ ·

Karl ↓

Statistics

ELV 1 – 2 BAY

28%

Possession (%)

72%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 1 – 2

Francis Onyeka

Yellow Card

▮

Noah Darvich ↓ · Francis Onyeka ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

11'

26'

⚽

Lennart Karl

Assist · Harry Kane · 0–1

Maurice Krattenmacher ↓ · Cole Campbell ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

45'

Half-time · 0 – 1

Maurice Krattenmacher

Assist · Noah Darvich · 1–1

⚽

61'

Felix Keidel

Yellow Card

▮

63'

65'

⇄

Alphonso Davies ↓ · Nathaniel Brown ↑

Substitution 1

65'

⇄

Joshua Kimmich ↓ · Tom Bischof ↑

Substitution 2

65'

⇄

Luis Díaz ↓ · Ismael Saibari ↑

Substitution 3

65'

⇄

Jamal Musiala ↓ · Lennart Karl ↑

Substitution 4

72'

⚽

Harry Kane

Assist · Aleksandar Pavlović · 1–2

Amara Condé ↓ · Felix Keidel ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

Noel Futkeu ↓ · David Mokwa ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

73'

Luca Schnellbacher ↓ · Lukas Petkov ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Bayern München won 2–1 away at SV Elversberg. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 72% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 28 shots to 5, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 3.

On the scoresheet: Lennart Karl (26'), Maurice Krattenmacher (61'), Harry Kane (72').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -4.88 units (Brier 0.100).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	3.20	3.19	40%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
BTTS No	2.50	2.55	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	11.00	15.38	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	10.80	16.95	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	11.50	14.93	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	5.68	5.68	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	6.00	5.99	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	7.21	9.43	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.50	1.46	62%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.05	1.03	84%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Away Win	1.20	1.15	69%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Over 3.5	1.40	1.35	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.02	1.01	69%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.05	1.03	87%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.10	1.10	75%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−4.88u	−33% ROI

SV Elversberg vs Bayern München 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled