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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › SV Elversberg — Bayern München

Predictions by Market: SV Elversberg vs Bayern München

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
SV Elversberg
SV Elversberg
Home · last 5 W W L D L
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 15:30
1:2
Full-time
Bayern München
Bayern München
W D W W D Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ELV
16%
Best 18.50
Draw
15%
Best 10.00
Away Win · BAY
69%
Best 1.17
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.21
Fair odds
6.52
book 7.21 · +10.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 15% · EV +10.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (69%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 16.1%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 15.3%
Odds 7.21
Show model details
Implied probability 13.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 39.7%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 13.2%
Odds 11.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 25.5%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 86.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 74.5%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 37.6%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 62.4%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 16.1%
Odds 10.80
Show model details
Implied probability 9.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 26.9%
Odds 5.68
Show model details
Implied probability 17.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 83.9%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
ELV – BAY @ 7.21
+10.5%
Edge
Forecast →