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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › 1. FC Köln — Werder Bremen

1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
Home · last 5 W L D L W
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 16:30
1:1
Full-time
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
L W D W D Away · last 5
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.40 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.36 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 47% · book 2.05 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.40 — +14.2% better than the market.

1. FC Köln arrives with strong home momentum after a recent win, contrasting with Werder Bremen's mixed form. Köln's higher expected goals hint at a pressing edge upfront, while Bremen's defense may struggle to contain their attack. The match likely leans toward a controlled tempo with moderate scoring, given balanced recent results and cautious odds on total goals.

  • Köln's home confidence and attacking threat
  • Bremen's defensive resilience tested
  • Moderate pace suggesting tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.40 ✗ Lost
AI 48% Implied 42% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

KOL 4-5-1 · WER 4-2-3-1
KOL · 4-5-1 4-2-3-1 · WER 1 Schwäbe 17 Castro-Montes 22 Simpson-Pusey 24 Lochoshvili 14 Mensah 30 Bülter 5 Krauß 6 Skhiri 47 Moore 37 Maina ⚽ 27 Dallinga ⚽ 1 Hein 13 Arthur 5 Pieper 32 Friedl 2 Deman 15 Reis 44 Regeer 18 Dinkçi 20 José 17 Grüll 10 Füllkrug ⚽
Subs used · KOL
64' Ache ↑ · Dallinga ↓
65' Jóhannesson ↑ · Maina ↓
65' Sebulonsen ↑ · Castro-Montes ↓
74' Mala ↑ · Moore ↓
90' Okon-Engstler ↑ · Krauß ↓
Subs used · WER
70' Stalmach ↑ · Reis ↓
81' Schmetgens ↑ · Soares ↓
81' Itten ↑ · Füllkrug ↓
83' Weiser ↑ · Regeer ↓
83' Erevbenagie ↑ · Dinkci ↓

Statistics

KOL 1 – 1 WER
47%
Possession (%)
53%
15
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
6
9
Shots Inside Box
11
8
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

16 · 1 – 1
Thijs Dallinga (P)
Penalty · 1–0
⚽
8'
Linton Maina
Assist · Ellyes Skhiri · 2–0
⚽
11'
Half-time · 2 – 0
Ragnar Ache ↓ · Thijs Dallinga ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
64'
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson ↓ · Linton Maina ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
Sebastian Soraas Sebulonsen ↓ · Alessio Castro-Montes ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
65'
69'
⚽
Niclas Füllkrug
2–1
70'
⇄
Dariusz Stalmach ↓ · Ludovit Reis ↑
Substitution 1
72'
▮
Olivier Deman
Yellow Card
Said El Mala ↓ · Mikey Moore ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
74'
81'
⇄
Mick Schmetgens ↓ · Arthur Augusto De Matos Soares ↑
Substitution 2
81'
⇄
Cédric Itten ↓ · Niclas Füllkrug ↑
Substitution 3
83'
⇄
Mitchell Weiser ↓ · Youri Regeer ↑
Substitution 4
83'
⇄
Paul Erevbenagie ↓ · Eren Dinkci ↑
Substitution 5
Gideon Mensah
Yellow Card
▮
86'
Paul Okon-Engstler ↓ · Tom Krauß ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90'
Paul Okon-Engstler
Yellow Card
▮
90+2'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

1. FC Köln and Werder Bremen drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 5. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Linton Maina (11'), Niclas Füllkrug (69').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.66 units (Brier 0.164).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.40 2.53 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.36 2.40 48% Cashed +1.36 Cashed
Home Win 2.05 2.02 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.78 1.78 53% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.52 1.50 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.60 1.54 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.39 2.30 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.44 2.55 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.53 1.62 69% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.78 5.00 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.35 1.30 73% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.53 1.48 52% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.50 14.93 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.03 93% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Away Win 3.40 3.34 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.60 3.70 25% Cashed +2.60 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.16 1.13 75% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.66u −16% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
KOL – WER @ 2.40
+14.2%
Edge
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