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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › 1. FC Köln — Werder Bremen

Predictions by Market: 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
Home · last 5 W L D L W
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 16:30
1:1
Full-time
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
L W D W D Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · KOL
47%
Best 2.11
Draw
25%
Best 3.90
Away Win · WER
27%
Best 3.50
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.40
Fair odds
2.10
book 2.40 · +14.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +14.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (52%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 47.4%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 27.2%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25.4%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 48.3%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 53.2%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 66%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31.2%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 24.6%
Odds 4.78
Show model details
Implied probability 20.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.2%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.8%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75.4%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 47.6%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 47.4%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 27.2%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
KOL – WER @ 2.40
+14.2%
Edge
Forecast →