P
Prognosist
P
Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › 1899 Hoffenheim — VfB Stuttgart

Predictions by Market: 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
Home · last 5 L L W L L
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 13:30
2:1
Full-time
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
L W L L W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HOF
39%
Best 2.35
Draw
24%
Best 4.12
Away Win · STU
36%
Best 2.89
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 5.88
Fair odds
5.17
book 5.88 · +13.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 19% · EV +13.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (81%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 36.3%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.4%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24.4%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 57.9%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 38.6%
Odds 3.27
Show model details
Implied probability 30.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 42.1%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 19.3%
Odds 5.88
Show model details
Implied probability 17%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 76.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.3%
Odds 20.50
Show model details
Implied probability 4.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.7%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 80.7%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 91.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 36.8%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 36.3%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 39.4%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 63.8%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 60.6%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
HOF – STU @ 5.88
+13.6%
Edge
Forecast →