SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg 0:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.70 — +9.6% better than the market.

SC Paderborn 07 hosts SC Freiburg in a Bundesliga clash where recent form favors the visitors, who come off a win while Paderborn managed a draw. The home side’s momentum is limited, but playing at home offers a slight edge in familiarity and support. Expect a moderately paced game with chances on both ends, as the odds suggest a tilt towards goals over 2.5.

Freiburg’s recent winning form contrasts with Paderborn’s steady but less convincing results.
Home advantage may help Paderborn maintain defensive solidity.
Market signals hint at an open game with goal-scoring opportunities.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 3.70 ✗ Lost

AI 30% Implied 27% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

PAD 3-5-2 · FRE 4-2-3-1

PAD · 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 · FRE

9 Philippe

Subs used · PAD

45'

Tigges ↑ ·

Philippe ↓

74'

Meier ↑ ·

Ulrich ↓

82'

Sticker ↑ ·

Ter-Horst ↓

82'

Marino ↑ ·

Pieringer ↓

89'

Mohr ↑ ·

Hansen ↓

Subs used · FRE

74'

Kübler ↑ ·

Beste ↓

74'

Grifo ↑ ·

Scherhant ↓

82'

Yilmaz ↑ ·

Engelhardt ↓

82'

Goto ↑ ·

Suzuki ↓

Statistics

PAD 0 – 1 FRE

59%

Possession (%)

41%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

16 · 0 – 1

26'

⚽

Maximilian Eggestein

0–1

Laurin Curda

Yellow Card

▮

38'

43'

▮

Yuito Suzuki

Yellow Card

Steffen Tigges ↓ · Rayan Philippe ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

45'

Half-time · 0 – 1

Jano Ter-Horst

Yellow Card

▮

48'

56'

▮

Philipp Lienhart

Yellow Card

59'

▮

Yannick Engelhardt

Yellow Card

74'

⇄

Lukas Kübler ↓ · Jan-Niklas Beste ↑

Substitution 1

74'

⇄

Vincenzo Grifo ↓ · Derry Lionel Scherhant ↑

Substitution 2

Oliver Batista Meier ↓ · Laurin Ulrich ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

74'

82'

⇄

Berkay Yilmaz ↓ · Yannick Engelhardt ↑

Substitution 3

82'

⇄

Keisuke Goto ↓ · Yuito Suzuki ↑

Substitution 4

Jonah Sticker ↓ · Jano Ter-Horst ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

82'

Stefano Marino ↓ · Marvin Pieringer ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

82'

Niklas Mohr ↓ · Mattes Hansen ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

89'

Tjark Scheller

Yellow Card

▮

90+3'

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

SC Freiburg won 1–0 away at SC Paderborn 07. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Maximilian Eggestein (26').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +0.31 units (Brier 0.311).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.67	1.67	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.65	2.62	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.67	1.80	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.37	2.34	42%	Cashed	+1.37	Cashed
Away Win	2.15	1.97	42%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.70	2.82	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.20	2.25	35%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.50	1.46	45%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Home Win	3.70	3.70	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.36	1.29	67%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.56	1.56	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	1.47	56%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	1.20	84%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.60	3.73	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.29	4.50	16%	Cashed	+3.29	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	+0.31u	+2% ROI

SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled