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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › SC Paderborn 07 — SC Freiburg

Predictions by Market: SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 13:30
0:1
Full-time
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
W W W D Away · last 5
Referee M. Burda

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PAD
30%
Best 3.88
Draw
25%
Best 3.90
Away Win · FRE
42%
Best 2.00
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.70
Fair odds
3.38
book 3.70 · +9.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +9.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (42%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 29.6%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.3%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 65.4%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 44.4%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 34.6%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 83.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 16.1%
Odds 4.29
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 41.8%
Odds 2.37
Show model details
Implied probability 42.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 30.1%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 44.8%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 67.2%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
PAD – FRE @ 3.70
+9.6%
Edge
Forecast →