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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › 1899 Hoffenheim — Borussia Dortmund

Predictions by Market: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
Home · last 5 L L W L L
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 13:30
2:3
Full-time
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
W W W W D Away · last 5
Referee M. Jollenbeck

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HOF
35%
Best 2.90
Draw
24%
Best 4.00
Away Win · DOR
38%
Best 2.57
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.17
Fair odds
2.03
book 2.17 · +6.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 49% · EV +6.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (51%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 35.1%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 38%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 23.9%
Odds 3.85
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 49.2%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 30.7%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 69.3%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 86%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 14%
Odds 5.33
Show model details
Implied probability 18.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 31%
Odds 2.76
Show model details
Implied probability 36.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 69%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 35.1%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 46%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 52%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 59%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
HOF – DOR @ 2.17
+6.5%
Edge
Forecast →