1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund 2:3

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.17 — +6.5% better than the market.

Borussia Dortmund arrives with momentum after a recent win, contrasting Hoffenheim's current struggles. Dortmund's sharper form and experience on the road suggest they hold a tactical edge, especially in breaking down Hoffenheim's defense. The match hints at an open pace, with both sides likely to seek attacking opportunities early on.

Dortmund's recent win boosts confidence and attacking rhythm.
Hoffenheim's home advantage tempered by poor form.
Potential for a lively game with chances at both ends.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 2.17 ✓ Cashed

AI 49% Implied 46% +1.17u

+117%

ROI on stake

Lineups

HOF 4-4-2 · DOR 3-4-2-1

HOF · 4-4-2 3-4-2-1 · DOR

19 Lemperle ⚽

Subs used · HOF

73'

Kramarić ↑ ·

Hložek ↓

73'

Conté ↑ ·

Wimmer ↓

79'

Hranáč ↑ ·

Kabak ↓

79'

Cat ↑ ·

Burger ↓

84'

Moerstedt ↑ ·

Lemperle ↓

Subs used · DOR

32'

Nwaneri ↑ ·

Mane ↓

45'

Veerman ↑ ·

Nmecha ↓

62'

Silva ↑ ·

Karetsas ↓

63'

Reggiani ↑ ·

Gadou ↓

87'

Sabitzer ↑ ·

Guirassy ↓

Statistics

HOF 2 – 3 DOR

60%

Possession (%)

40%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

21 · 2 – 3

32'

⇄

Ethan Nwaneri ↓ · Filippo Mane ↑

Substitution 1

Ozan Kabak

Yellow Card

▮

40'

Leon Avdullahu

Assist · Vladimír Coufal · 1–0

⚽

45'

⇄

Joey Veerman ↓ · Felix Nmecha ↑

Substitution 2

Albian Hajdari

Yellow Card

▮

45+2'

Half-time · 1 – 0

Tim Lemperle

Assist · Adam Daghim · 2–0

⚽

54'

61'

⚽

Serhou Guirassy

Assist · Waldemar Anton · 2–1

62'

⇄

Fábio Silva ↓ · Konstantinos Karetsas ↑

Substitution 3

63'

⇄

Luca Reggiani ↓ · Kouakou Joane Gadou ↑

Substitution 4

Wouter Burger

Yellow Card

▮

63'

66'

⚽

Fábio Silva

Assist · Serhou Guirassy · 2–2

Andrej Kramarić ↓ · Adam Hložek ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

73'

Bambasé Conté ↓ · Patrick Wimmer ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

73'

76'

▮

Luca Reggiani

Yellow Card

78'

▮

Maximilian Beier

Yellow Card

Robin Hranáč ↓ · Ozan Kabak ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

79'

Nathan De Cat ↓ · Wouter Burger ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

79'

Andrej Kramarić

Yellow Card

▮

80'

Max Moerstedt ↓ · Tim Lemperle ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

84'

86'

⚽

Albian Hajdari

Own goal · 2–3

87'

⇄

Marcel Sabitzer ↓ · Serhou Guirassy ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 2 – 3

Match recap

Borussia Dortmund won 3–2 away at 1899 Hoffenheim. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 11, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Leon Avdullahu (45'), Tim Lemperle (54'), Serhou Guirassy (61'), Fábio Silva (66'), Albian Hajdari (86').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -3.03 units (Brier 0.165).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.17	2.10	49%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.65	1.57	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.80	2.68	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.50	2.50	38%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.75	1.73	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.76	2.80	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.62	2.75	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.18	2.10	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.93	1.93	38%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.40	1.44	65%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.43	1.43	69%	Cashed	+0.43	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.42	1.39	69%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.12	1.10	86%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Draw	3.85	3.83	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.33	5.49	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−3.03u	−20% ROI

1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund 2:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled