🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 57% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 56%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
With limited recent form and strength data, this Bundesliga opener between FSV Mainz 05 and SC Paderborn 07 hints at a balanced contest. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight home edge, likely influenced by Mainz's familiarity with their ground and a pressing style that could challenge Paderborn's defense. Expect a moderate tempo with chances for both sides, as indicated by the market leaning towards over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
- Mainz’s home familiarity offers a subtle advantage.
- Paderborn’s defense may be tested by Mainz’s pressing.
- Market signals point to a lively, goal-involved match.
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 52% | FSV Mainz 05 win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 57% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 56% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 75% | 1X |
- 1X2 FSV Mainz 05 win 52%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57%
- BTTS Yes 56%
- Double Chance 1X 75%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
FSV Mainz 05
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
9 / 9
Avg goals / match
3.6
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
xG (for / against)
2.37 / 1.77
SC Paderborn 07
W/D/L
1-1-0
Goals (for / against)
2 / 1
Avg goals / match
1.5
Scored in
1/2
Clean sheets
1/2
Both teams scored
1/2
Over 2.5
1/2
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
🎯 Scenario insights
①
FSV Mainz 05 wins when scoring first
71%
①
SC Paderborn 07 wins when scoring first
—
⚽
FSV Mainz 05 BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
SC Paderborn 07 BTTS rate · last 2
50%
↑
FSV Mainz 05 Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
SC Paderborn 07 Over 2.5 · last 2
50%
↩
FSV Mainz 05 comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
SC Paderborn 07 comeback rate · last 2
—
🔥 Goal timing
FSV Mainz 05 · last 10 at home
0–15
19%
16–30
13%
31–45
19%
46–60
13%
61–75
13%
76–90
25%
SC Paderborn 07 · last 1 away
0–15
0%
16–30
0%
31–45
0%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
0%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.