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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FSV Mainz 05 — SC Paderborn 07

Predictions by Market: FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Home · last 5 D W L W L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 13:30
0:0
Full-time
SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07
D L L W L Away · last 5
Referee T. Stieler

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MAI
56%
Best 1.58
Draw
24%
Best 4.62
Away Win · PAD
25%
Best 6.00
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.68
Fair odds
4.08
book 4.68 · +14.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 25% · EV +14.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (56%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 24.5%
Odds 4.68
Show model details
Implied probability 21.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 23.7%
Odds 3.95
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 35%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 65%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 78%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22%
Odds 4.27
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.1%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 43.9%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.47
Show model details
Implied probability 28.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 51.7%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 44.5%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 75.5%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
MAI – PAD @ 4.68
+14.7%
Edge
Forecast →