Getafe vs Malaga 1:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.13 — +12.0% better than the market.

Getafe Looks to Assert Home Edge

Getafe holds a clear quality advantage and a slight home momentum edge over Malaga, who have struggled for points recently. The home side's defensive solidity combined with a modest attacking edge suggests a compact match with limited clear-cut chances. Expect a cautious tempo given the low goal expectations, with Getafe likely to control possession and Malaga aiming to absorb pressure and counter.

Getafe's defensive resilience vs Malaga's modest attack
Home form slightly better, supporting control
Low-scoring match probable given cautious setups

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 2.13 ✓ Cashed

AI 53% Implied 47% +1.13u

+113%

ROI on stake

Lineups

GET 4-4-2 · MAL 4-4-2

GET · 4-4-2 4-4-2 · MAL

20 Azón ⚽

25 Berrocal 15 Diarra

Subs used · GET

65'

Mangala ↑ ·

Djené ↓

89'

Sazonov ↑ ·

Azón ↓

90+4'

Mancha ↑ ·

Satriano ↓

Subs used · MAL

45'

Nino ↑ ·

Jauregi ↓

67'

Andrés ↑ ·

Lorenzo ↓

67'

Rubio ↑ ·

Muñoz ↓

74'

Enríquez ↑ ·

Ruiz ↓

89'

Cruz ↑ ·

Berrocal ↓

Statistics

GET 1 – 0 MAL

45%

Possession (%)

55%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 1 – 0

Johan Mojica

Yellow Card

▮

21'

39'

▮

Eneko Jauregi

Yellow Card

45'

⇄

Adrian Nino ↓ · Eneko Jauregi ↑

Substitution 1

45+5'

▮

David Larrubia

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

Nemanja Gudelj

Yellow Card

▮

54'

Francho Serrano Gracia

Yellow Card

▮

58'

Orel Mangala ↓ · Dakonam Ortega Djené ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

65'

67'

⇄

Pablo Martínez Andrés ↓ · Dani Lorenzo ↑

Substitution 2

67'

⇄

Carlos Ruiz Rubio ↓ · Joaquín Muñoz ↑

Substitution 3

Ramón Terrats

Yellow Card

▮

68'

74'

⇄

Ramón Enríquez ↓ · Rafael Rodríguez Ruiz ↑

Substitution 4

Iván Azón

Assist · Martin Satriano · 1–0

⚽

85'

89'

⇄

Juan Cruz ↓ · Juan Berrocal ↑

Substitution 5

Saba Sazonov ↓ · Iván Azón ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

89'

David Cordón Mancha ↓ · Martin Satriano ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90+4'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Getafe beat Malaga 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 11, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Iván Azón (85').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.27 units (Brier 0.109).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 1.5	2.52	2.57	48%	Cashed	+1.52	Cashed
Home Win	2.13	1.98	53%	Cashed	+1.13	Cashed
BTTS No	1.63	1.66	67%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.69	1.78	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.19	2.15	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.60	2.60	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.66	3.02	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.44	1.50	74%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 0.5	6.50	6.49	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.27	1.22	81%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Draw	3.05	3.13	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.57	1.50	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.52	1.41	53%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.14	1.13	89%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	1.08	79%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Away Win	3.75	4.33	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.93	5.00	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.27u	−25% ROI

Getafe vs Malaga 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

Getafe Looks to Assert Home Edge

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled