Espanyol vs Elche 1:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.91 — +9.7% better than the market.

Espanyol shows better recent form and home momentum against a struggling Elche. The hosts have edged their last five matches with more points per game, suggesting a pressing edge and sharper transitions. Expect a tactical battle with Espanyol’s compact block likely to limit Elche’s chances, while Elche’s defensive lapses could be exploited on set-pieces.

Home form advantage and higher points per game
Espanyol’s solid defensive shape
Elche’s recent struggles in attack and defense

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.91 ✗ Lost

AI 57% Implied 52% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ESP 4-2-3-1 · ELC 4-3-3

ESP · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · ELC

9 Fernández

Subs used · ESP

45'

Hartman ↑ ·

Hinojo ↓

45'

Fernández ↑ ·

Gonzalez ↓

61'

Milla ↑ ·

Torrado ↓

67'

Dolan ↑ ·

Zaragoza ↓

67'

Riedel ↑ ·

Núñez ↓

Subs used · ELC

37'

Saez ↑ ·

Sangaré ↓

60'

Bigas ↑ ·

Villar ↓

61'

Osorio ↑ ·

Rodríguez ↓

77'

Morente ↑ ·

Lemar ↓

77'

Barzic ↑ ·

Revivo ↓

Statistics

ESP 1 – 3 ELC

66%

Possession (%)

34%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

19 · 1 – 3

▮

Federico Redondo Solari

Red Card

22'

▮

Fernando Niño Rodríguez

Yellow Card

26'

⚽

Fernando Niño Rodríguez

Assist · Roy Revivo · 0–1

29'

⚽

Fernando Niño Rodríguez

Assist · Roy Revivo · 0–2

37'

⇄

Ruben Sanchez Saez ↓ · Buba Sangaré ↑

Substitution 1

Quilindschy Hartman ↓ · Roger Hinojo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

45'

Marcos Fernández ↓ · Urko Gonzalez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

45'

Eduardo Expósito Jaén

Yellow Card

▮

45+4'

Half-time · 0 – 2

60'

⇄

Pedro Bigas ↓ · Gonzalo Villar ↑

Substitution 2

61'

⇄

Abiel Alessio Osorio ↓ · Fernando Niño Rodríguez ↑

Substitution 3

Pere Milla ↓ · Álex Calatrava Torrado ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

61'

Tyrhys Dolan ↓ · Bryan Zaragoza ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

67'

Clemens Riedel ↓ · Unai Núñez ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

67'

Víctor Chust

Own goal · 1–2

⚽

72'

77'

⇄

Tete Morente ↓ · Thomas Lemar ↑

Substitution 4

77'

⇄

Matia Barzic ↓ · Roy Revivo ↑

Substitution 5

78'

⚽

Germán Valera

Assist · Tete Morente · 1–3

Clemens Riedel

Yellow Card

▮

82'

90+1'

▮

Lucas Cepeda

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 3

Match recap

Elche won 3–1 away at Espanyol. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 9, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Fernando Niño Rodríguez (26'), Fernando Niño Rodríguez (29'), Víctor Chust (72'), Germán Valera (78'). Federico Redondo Solari was sent off in the 6' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.71 units (Brier 0.303).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.91	2.10	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.05	2.14	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.80	1.98	53%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Home Win	1.91	1.80	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.67	1.66	48%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.91	1.80	43%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Away Win	4.10	4.59	26%	Cashed	+3.10	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.00	4.00	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.25	1.20	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.98	3.36	26%	Cashed	+1.98	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.36	1.35	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	1.40	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.65	12.05	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.03	89%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	3.30	3.60	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.23	1.22	67%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	2.88	22%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.71u	+4% ROI

Espanyol vs Elche 1:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled