P
Prognosist
P
Home › Spain › La Liga › Atletico Madrid — Real Madrid

Predictions by Market: Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 L W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 14:15
2:1
Full-time
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
L W W L W Away · last 5
Riyadh Air Metropolitano · Madrid Referee Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ATM
19%
Best 3.56
Draw
23%
Best 3.80
Away Win · REA
59%
Best 2.12
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 1.57
Fair odds
1.44
book 1.57 · +9.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 70% · EV +9.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 22.7%
Odds 3.97
Show model details
Implied probability 25.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 18.6%
Odds 3.78
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 48.6%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 34.9%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.6%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.8%
Odds 5.33
Show model details
Implied probability 18.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 55.8%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.4%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 70.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 18.6%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 44.7%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 81.4%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 79.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
ATM – REA @ 1.57
+9.3%
Edge
Forecast →