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Home › Spain › La Liga › Elche — Real Madrid

Predictions by Market: Elche vs Real Madrid

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Elche
Elche
Home · last 5 L L D L W
Kick-off
Tue 15 Sep · 19:30
2:3
Full-time
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
L W W L W Away · last 5
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ELC
18%
Best 13.20
Draw
15%
Best 7.50
Away Win · REA
69%
Best 1.24
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 1.91
Fair odds
1.67
book 1.91 · +14.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 60% · EV +14.6%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 18.4%
Odds 8.55
Show model details
Implied probability 11.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 15.1%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 60%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 44.6%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 40.5%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 23.6%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 76.4%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 59.5%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49.5%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.5%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 18.4%
Odds 6.18
Show model details
Implied probability 16.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 91.3%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 31.5%
Odds 4.14
Show model details
Implied probability 24.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 81.7%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
ELC – REA @ 1.91
+14.6%
Edge
Forecast →