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Home › Spain › La Liga › Rayo Vallecano — Espanyol

Predictions by Market: Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Home · last 5 L W L W D
Kick-off
Tue 15 Sep · 17:00
2:1
Full-time
Espanyol
Espanyol
D W L L D Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · RAY
42%
Best 2.41
Draw
27%
Best 3.49
Away Win · ESP
32%
Best 3.18
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.50
Fair odds
3.13
book 3.50 · +11.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +11.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (68%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 41.5%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 31.7%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 26.9%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.1%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 31.9%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.5%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.5%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.3%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.4%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 31.7%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 42.4%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68.3%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
RAY – ESP @ 3.50
+11.8%
Edge
Forecast →