Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla 0:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.67 — +3.0% better than the market.

Deportivo La Coruna show strong home momentum with solid recent form and higher points per game, suggesting they can press their advantage early. Sevilla’s inconsistent away results and lower scoring rate hint at a compact defensive approach, likely leading to a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances. The odds favor a cautious pace, supporting a match with fewer goals and a tight scoreline.

Home side’s recent resilience and attacking edge
Away team’s defensive solidity but scoring struggles
Expected moderate tempo favoring under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.67 ✓ Cashed

AI 62% Implied 60% +0.67u

+67%

ROI on stake

Lineups

COR 4-4-2 · SEV 4-4-2

COR · 4-4-2 4-4-2 · SEV

7 Aubameyang

Subs used · COR

45'

Traoré ↑ ·

Nsongo ↓

57'

Soriano ↑ ·

Rodríguez ↓

57'

Jensen ↑ ·

Hernández ↓

61'

Quagliata ↑ ·

Cruz ↓

83'

Eddahchouri ↑ ·

Giménez ↓

Subs used · SEV

76'

Romero ↑ ·

Stassin ↓

81'

Kochorashvili ↑ ·

Guridi ↓

81'

Diaz ↑ ·

Correia ↓

90+1'

Ure ↑ ·

Sierra ↓

Statistics

COR 0 – 1 SEV

53%

Possession (%)

47%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

16 · 0 – 1

Adama Traoré ↓ · Bil Nsongo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

45'

Half-time · 0 – 0

52'

⚽

Miguel Sierra

0–1

Mario Soriano ↓ · Riki Rodríguez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

57'

Jonathan Asp Jensen ↓ · Yeremay Hernández ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

57'

Angeliño

Red Card

▮

59'

Giacomo Quagliata ↓ · Luismi Cruz ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

61'

65'

▮

Kike Salas

Yellow Card

76'

⇄

Isaac Romero ↓ · Lucas Stassin ↑

Substitution 1

Lorenzo Amatucci

Yellow Card

▮

77'

79'

▮

Jon Guridi

Yellow Card

81'

⇄

Giorgi Kochorashvili ↓ · Jon Guridi ↑

Substitution 2

81'

⇄

Julio Diaz ↓ · Felix Correia ↑

Substitution 3

Zakaria Eddahchouri ↓ · José María Giménez ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

90+1'

⇄

Robbie Ure ↓ · Miguel Sierra ↑

Substitution 4

90+4'

▮

Isaac Romero

Yellow Card

90+6'

▮

Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez

Yellow Card

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Sevilla won 1–0 away at Deportivo La Coruna. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 4, 6 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Miguel Sierra (52'). Angeliño was sent off in the 59' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.59 units (Brier 0.213).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.67	1.67	62%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
BTTS No	1.83	1.91	55%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
Home Win	2.48	2.62	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.93	1.85	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.25	2.20	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.73	1.82	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.18	2.08	31%	Cashed	+1.18	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.53	1.50	60%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.88	3.00	36%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
Away Win	3.05	3.00	31%	Cashed	+2.05	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.38	1.40	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.22	1.22	81%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.00	8.00	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	1.06	88%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.21	3.05	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.39	1.36	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.09	4.00	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.59u	−9% ROI

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled