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Home › Spain › La Liga › Racing Santander — Alaves

Racing Santander vs Alaves 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 12:00
2:1
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
W L L D L Away · last 5
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.73 ✓
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 41% · book 2.80 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 64% · book 1.61 ✓
Total goals
3
2 · 1
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.73 — +8.8% better than the market.

Racing Santander shows solid home momentum with a steady points rate, while Alaves arrives with a strong recent form, suggesting a competitive clash. The match hints at an open tempo given the favorable odds for goals, with both sides likely to test each other's defenses actively. Expect tactical battles around midfield control and set-piece opportunities shaping the outcome.

  • Home side's consistent form offers a pressing edge.
  • Away team’s recent winning streak boosts confidence.
  • Goal-scoring chances expected from both, supporting a lively game.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.73 ✓ Cashed
AI 63% Implied 58% +0.73u
+73%
ROI on stake

Lineups

SAN 4-2-3-1 · ALA 4-4-2
SAN · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · ALA 13 Agirrezabala 2 Mantilla 5 Ramón 24 Belocian 17 Salinas 23 Martín 18 Prati 15 García 20 Canales 10 Vicente 21 Zabiri ⚽ 1 Sivera 7 Pérez 14 Tenaglia 16 Koski ⚽ 17 Jonny 4 Suárez 19 Ibáñez 8 Blanco 21 Rebbach 15 Boyé 9 Díaz
Subs used · SAN
65' Almeida ↑ · García ↓
74' Guliashvili ↑ · Zabiri ↓
74' Luque ↑ · Canales ↓
83' Gueye ↑ · Prati ↓
83' Villalibre ↑ · Vicente ↓
90+7' Felipe ↑ · Guliashvili ↓
Subs used · ALA
45' Protesoni ↑ · Lumbreras ↓
45' Valentini ↑ · Tenaglia ↓
67' Aleñá ↑ · Blanco ↓
67' Martínez ↑ · Díaz ↓
86' Mañas ↑ · Hidalgo ↓
90+7' Rodríguez ↑ · Mañas ↓

Statistics

SAN 2 – 1 ALA
57%
Possession (%)
43%
11
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Target
8
4
Shots off Target
3
9
Shots Inside Box
10
4
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
9
16
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
3
7
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

21 · 2 – 1
7'
▮
Nahuel Tenaglia
Yellow Card
8'
▮
Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
Yellow Card
18'
⚽
Ville Koski
0–1
Yassir Zabiri
Yellow Card
▮
35'
Yassir Zabiri
Assist · Iñigo Vicente · 1–1
⚽
38'
45'
⇄
Carlos Protesoni ↓ · Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras ↑
Substitution 1
45'
⇄
Nicolas Valentini ↓ · Nahuel Tenaglia ↑
Substitution 2
Half-time · 1 – 1
Yassir Zabiri
2–1
⚽
53'
62'
▮
Antonio Blanco
Yellow Card
Jorge Salinas Viadero
Yellow Card
▮
62'
André Almeida ↓ · Pablo García ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
65'
67'
⇄
Carles Aleñá ↓ · Antonio Blanco ↑
Substitution 3
67'
⇄
Toni Martínez ↓ · Mariano Díaz ↑
Substitution 4
Giorgi Guliashvili ↓ · Yassir Zabiri ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
74'
Iker Luque ↓ · Sergio Canales ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
74'
Maguette Gueye ↓ · Matteo Prati ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
83'
Asier Villalibre ↓ · Iñigo Vicente ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
83'
86'
⇄
Aitor Mañas ↓ · Angel Pérez Hidalgo ↑
Substitution 5
André Almeida
Red Card
▮
89'
Pedro Felipe ↓ · Giorgi Guliashvili ↑
Substitution 6
⇄
90+7'
90+7'
⇄
Miguel Rodríguez ↓ · Aitor Mañas ↑
Substitution 6
Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Racing Santander beat Alaves 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 11, 8 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Ville Koski (18'), Yassir Zabiri (38'), Yassir Zabiri (53'). André Almeida was sent off in the 89' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.45 units (Brier 0.143).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.73 1.73 63% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.80 2.70 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.61 1.56 64% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
Home Win 2.43 2.55 40% Cashed +1.43 Cashed
Away Win 2.78 2.70 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.25 2.28 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.10 2.20 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.12 1.98 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.76 1.91 40% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.42 1.40 66% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.54 1.54 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 1.20 83% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.02 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 3.45 3.45 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.37 1.44 59% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.00 4.33 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 12.99 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.45u −26% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
SAN – ALA @ 1.73
+8.8%
Edge
Forecast →