Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid 0:3

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.43 — +6.8% better than the market.

Real Sociedad shows stronger recent form and a higher points per game average, suggesting home momentum against Atletico Madrid. The home side's attacking potential appears more promising, while Atletico's defense might face pressure. The odds hint at a moderately paced game with a slight leaning towards fewer goals, supported by a history of competitive, close encounters.

Home side's better recent results and scoring edge
Atletico's resilience but limited offensive threat
Moderate tempo likely with tactical caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.43 ✓ Cashed

AI 75% Implied 70% +0.43u

+43%

ROI on stake

Lineups

RSO 4-2-3-1 · ATM 4-4-2

RSO · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · ATM

10 Oyarzabal

Subs used · RSO

72'

Ochieng ↑ ·

Barrenetxea ↓

72'

Kubo ↑ ·

Guedes ↓

78'

Gorrotxategi ↑ ·

Soler ↓

79'

Óskarsson ↑ ·

Oyarzabal ↓

85'

Zakharyan ↑ ·

Herrera ↓

Subs used · ATM

59'

Cardoso ↑ ·

Rodríguez ↓

60'

David ↑ ·

Llorente ↓

60'

Koke ↑ ·

Kang-In ↓

76'

Ortiz ↑ ·

Lookman ↓

Statistics

RSO 0 – 3 ATM

54%

Possession (%)

46%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

16 · 0 – 3

Yangel Herrera

Yellow Card

▮

18'

Half-time · 0 – 0

59'

⇄

Johnny Cardoso ↓ · Alejandro Baena Rodríguez ↑

Substitution 1

60'

⇄

Jonathan David ↓ · Marcos Llorente ↑

Substitution 2

60'

⇄

Koke ↓ · Lee Kang-In ↑

Substitution 3

Pellegrino Matarazzo

Yellow Card

▮

72'

Job Ochieng ↓ · Ander Barrenetxea ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

72'

Takefusa Kubo ↓ · Gonçalo Guedes ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

72'

75'

▮

Johnny Cardoso

Yellow Card

76'

⇄

Arnau Ortiz ↓ · Ademola Lookman ↑

Substitution 4

Jon Gorrotxategi ↓ · Carlos Soler ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

78'

Mikel Oyarzabal

Yellow Card

▮

78'

Orri Steinn Óskarsson ↓ · Mikel Oyarzabal ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

79'

84'

⚽

Alejandro Grimaldo (P)

Penalty · 0–1

Arsen Zakharyan ↓ · Yangel Herrera ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

90'

⚽

Jonathan David

Assist · Alejandro Grimaldo · 0–2

90+5'

⚽

Giuliano Simeone Baldini

Assist · Dávid Hancko · 0–3

Full-time · 0 – 3

Match recap

Atletico Madrid won 3–0 away at Real Sociedad. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 8, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Alejandro Grimaldo (84'), Jonathan David (90'), Giuliano Simeone Baldini (90+5').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -2.98 units (Brier 0.200).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.20	2.38	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.37	2.50	49%	Cashed	+1.37	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.62	1.70	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.30	2.12	38%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.20	2.43	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.67	1.62	47%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.68	2.42	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.72	1.59	38%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.43	1.51	75%	Cashed	+0.43	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.33	5.00	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.85	3.29	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.36	1.35	64%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.56	1.49	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.50	3.65	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.17	1.17	70%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−2.98u	−20% ROI

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid 0:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled