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Home › Spain › La Liga › Real Madrid — Rayo Vallecano

Predictions by Market: Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 L W W L W
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 19:00
4:1
Full-time
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
L W L W D Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · REA
75%
Best 1.16
Draw
14%
Best 9.50
Away Win · RAY
11%
Best 20.00
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 1.98
Fair odds
1.72
book 1.98 · +14.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 58% · EV +14.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 10.7%
Odds 18.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 14%
Odds 8.75
Show model details
Implied probability 11.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 44.4%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 75.4%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 89.6%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 24.7%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 10.5%
Odds 7.60
Show model details
Implied probability 13.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 41.9%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 10.7%
Odds 14.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 24.7%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 89.4%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
REA – RAY @ 1.98
+14.8%
Edge
Forecast →