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Home › Spain › La Liga › Rayo Vallecano — Racing Santander

Predictions by Market: Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Home · last 5 L W L W D
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 16:30
3:2
Full-time
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
W L W L L Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · RAY
42%
Best 2.25
Draw
27%
Best 3.64
Away Win · SAN
32%
Best 3.88
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.55
Fair odds
3.32
book 3.55 · +6.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +6.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (70%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 31.6%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 44.6%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 30.2%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69.8%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.3%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 50.3%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 29%
Odds 2.74
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 45%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
RAY – SAN @ 3.55
+6.9%
Edge
Forecast →