Espanyol vs Sevilla 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.73 — +0.4% better than the market.

Espanyol shows a slight home momentum edge with better recent form and higher points per game, suggesting they could control the tempo early on. Sevilla’s recent wins hint at resilience, but Espanyol’s ability to create chances at home may test Sevilla’s defense. Expect a tactical battle with Espanyol’s pressing and Sevilla’s counter-attacks shaping the match.

Home form advantage and higher scoring potential
Sevilla’s resilience and counter-attacking threat
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.73 ✓ Cashed

AI 58% Implied 58% +0.73u

+73%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ESP 4-4-2 · SEV 4-3-3

ESP · 4-4-2 4-3-3 · SEV

9 Fernández

Subs used · ESP

59'

Gonzalez ↑ ·

Moscardo ↓

59'

Fernández ↑ ·

Torrado ↓

75'

Zaragoza ↑ ·

Hilali ↓

86'

Riedel ↑ ·

Núñez ↓

86'

Hartman ↑ ·

Hinojo ↓

Subs used · SEV

54'

Stassin ↑ ·

Ure ↓

54'

Fofana ↑ ·

Kochorashvili ↓

60'

Castrín ↑ ·

Ejuke ↓

71'

Carmona ↑ ·

Sierra ↓

71'

Sebastián ↑ ·

Guridi ↓

Statistics

ESP 1 – 1 SEV

56%

Possession (%)

44%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

19 · 1 – 1

▮

Giorgi Kochorashvili

Yellow Card

Álex Calatrava Torrado

Yellow Card

▮

14'

27'

▮

Robbie Ure

Yellow Card

40'

▮

Miguel Sierra

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

Gabriel Moscardo

Yellow Card

▮

46'

54'

⇄

Lucas Stassin ↓ · Robbie Ure ↑

Substitution 1

54'

⇄

Youssouf Fofana ↓ · Giorgi Kochorashvili ↑

Substitution 2

56'

▮

Arouna Sangante

Red Card

57'

▮

Luis García Plaza

Yellow Card

Urko Gonzalez ↓ · Gabriel Moscardo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

59'

Marcos Fernández ↓ · Álex Calatrava Torrado ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

59'

60'

⇄

Andrés Castrín ↓ · Chidera Ejuke ↑

Substitution 3

71'

⇄

José Ángel Carmona ↓ · Miguel Sierra ↑

Substitution 4

71'

⇄

Manuel Bueno Sebastián ↓ · Jon Guridi ↑

Substitution 5

Bryan Zaragoza ↓ · Omar El Hilali ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

75'

85'

⚽

Lucas Stassin

0–1

Clemens Riedel ↓ · Unai Núñez ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

86'

Quilindschy Hartman ↓ · Roger Hinojo ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

86'

Marcos Fernández

1–1

⚽

90+8'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Espanyol and Sevilla drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 6, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 0. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Lucas Stassin (85'), Marcos Fernández (90+8'). Arouna Sangante was sent off in the 56' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.49 units (Brier 0.151).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.45	2.27	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.38	2.20	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.74	1.85	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.68	2.98	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.00	1.90	46%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.20	2.38	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.72	1.63	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.54	1.62	60%	Cashed	+0.54	Cashed
Away Win	3.00	3.39	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.73	1.73	58%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.38	1.32	68%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.43	1.36	65%	Cashed	+0.43	Cashed
Draw	3.20	3.23	28%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.18	1.23	80%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	1.07	88%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.50	4.00	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	7.10	8.00	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.49u	−21% ROI

Espanyol vs Sevilla 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled