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Home › Spain › La Liga › Villarreal — Deportivo La Coruna

Predictions by Market: Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Villarreal
Villarreal
Home · last 5 L L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 19:00
2:3
Full-time
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna
W W D L D Away · last 5
Estadio de la Cerámica · Villarreal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · VIL
54%
Best 1.51
Draw
23%
Best 4.86
Away Win · COR
23%
Best 7.00
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.45
Fair odds
2.15
book 2.45 · +13.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 46% · EV +13.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (77%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 23.3%
Odds 5.85
Show model details
Implied probability 17.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 53.6%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 65.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 23.1%
Odds 4.05
Show model details
Implied probability 24.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 43.7%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 34.8%
Odds 2.92
Show model details
Implied probability 34.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 65.2%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.6%
Odds 3.82
Show model details
Implied probability 26.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44.9%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 23.3%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 53.6%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 46.4%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 76.7%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 88.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
VIL – COR @ 2.45
+13.7%
Edge
Forecast →