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Home › Spain › La Liga › Villarreal — Deportivo La Coruna

Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna 2:3: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Villarreal
Villarreal
Home · last 5 L L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 19:00
2:3
Full-time
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna
W W D L D Away · last 5
Estadio de la Cerámica · Villarreal
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 46% · book 2.45 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 55% · book 1.85 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.80 ✓
Total goals
5
2 · 3
Possession
62% – 38%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.45 — +13.7% better than the market.

Villarreal hosts Deportivo La Coruna in a La Liga clash where home momentum is modest, showing mixed recent results. Deportivo arrives with slightly better form and a higher points-per-game trend, hinting at resilience on the road. The match could see a balanced tempo given the odds favoring a moderate goal count, suggesting a tactical battle with both sides cautious yet probing.

  • Villarreal’s home edge is limited but they can leverage set-piece threats.
  • Deportivo’s recent form shows signs of steady attacking pressure.
  • Expect a compact defensive setup from both sides, with chances on transitions.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 2.45 ✓ Cashed
AI 46% Implied 41% +1.45u
+145%
ROI on stake

Lineups

VIL 4-4-2 · COR 4-4-2
VIL · 4-4-2 4-4-2 · COR 1 Júnior 3 Freeman 2 Costa 12 Veiga 23 Cardona 19 Pépé ⚽ 24 Saliba 18 Gueye 10 Moleiro 7 Moreno 22 Pérez 13 Román 23 Navarro 4 Noubi 20 Giménez 12 Quagliata 19 Cruz ⚽ 21 Soriano 16 Amatucci 14 Rodríguez 32 Nsongo 7 Aubameyang ⚽
Subs used · VIL
62' Mikautadze ↑ · Pérez ↓
62' Comesaña ↑ · Gueye ↓
62' Buchanan ↑ · Moleiro ↓
77' Oluwaseyi ↑ · Moreno ↓
83' Chakkour ↑ · Costa ↓
Subs used · COR
54' Hernández ↑ · Rodríguez ↓
66' Casadó ↑ · Soriano ↓
66' Traoré ↑ · Nsongo ↓
66' Loureiro ↑ · Giménez ↓
77' Eddahchouri ↑ · Cruz ↓

Statistics

VIL 2 – 3 COR
62%
Possession (%)
38%
17
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Shots off Target
3
9
Shots Inside Box
6
7
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

19 · 2 – 3
Nicolas Pépé
Assist · Ayoze Pérez · 1–0
⚽
19'
43'
⚽
Luismi Cruz
Assist · Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · 1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
54'
⇄
Yeremay Hernández ↓ · Riki Rodríguez ↑
Substitution 1
Georges Mikautadze ↓ · Ayoze Pérez ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
62'
Santi Comesaña ↓ · Pape Gueye ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
62'
Tajon Buchanan ↓ · Alberto Moleiro ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
62'
66'
⇄
Marc Casadó ↓ · Mario Soriano ↑
Substitution 2
66'
⇄
Adama Traoré ↓ · Bil Nsongo ↑
Substitution 3
66'
⇄
Miguel Loureiro ↓ · José María Giménez ↑
Substitution 4
Adama Traoré
Own goal · 2–1
⚽
76'
77'
⇄
Zakaria Eddahchouri ↓ · Luismi Cruz ↑
Substitution 5
Tani Oluwaseyi ↓ · Gerard Moreno ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
77'
79'
⚽
Zakaria Eddahchouri
Assist · Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · 2–2
Santi Comesaña
Yellow Card
▮
81'
Ilias Akhomach Chakkour ↓ · Logan Costa ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
83'
Tajon Buchanan
Yellow Card
▮
87'
88'
⚽
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
2–3
90+1'
▮
Lorenzo Amatucci
Yellow Card
90+3'
▮
Yeremay Hernández
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 3

Match recap

Deportivo La Coruna won 3–2 away at Villarreal. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 8, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Nicolas Pépé (19'), Luismi Cruz (43'), Adama Traoré (76'), Zakaria Eddahchouri (79'), Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (88').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +5.46 units (Brier 0.294).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.45 2.62 46% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.85 1.81 55% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.80 1.71 56% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.00 2.20 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.89 1.93 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.85 6.58 23% Cashed +4.85 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.92 2.62 35% Cashed +1.92 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.14 1.11 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.54 1.46 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.35 4.88 23% Cashed +3.35 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.24 1.20 78% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Draw 4.05 4.63 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.38 1.47 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.82 4.33 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.19 1.15 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L +5.46u +36% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
VIL – COR @ 2.45
+13.7%
Edge
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