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Home › Spain › La Liga › Valencia — Barcelona

Predictions by Market: Valencia vs Barcelona

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Valencia
Valencia
Home · last 5 L L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 06 Sep · 14:15
0:5
Full-time
Barcelona
Barcelona
W W W W W Away · last 5
Estadio de Mestalla · Valdivia

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · VAL
18%
Best 10.90
Draw
20%
Best 6.50
Away Win · BAR
67%
Best 1.30
Value pick
Double Chance 1X
@ 3.50
Fair odds
3.05
book 3.50 · +14.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 33% · EV +14.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance X2 is more likely (82%), but Double Chance 1X is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 17.8%
Odds 6.91
Show model details
Implied probability 14.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 67.3%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.2%
Odds 4.90
Show model details
Implied probability 20.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5 Value pick
Probability 60.9%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 39.2%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 20.6%
Odds 3.04
Show model details
Implied probability 32.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 79.4%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 89.8%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 97%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 10.2%
Odds 5.40
Show model details
Implied probability 18.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.7%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42.3%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 62%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 17.8%
Odds 5.53
Show model details
Implied probability 18.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 32.7%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
VAL – BAR @ 3.50
+14.6%
Edge
Forecast →