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Home › Spain › La Liga › Osasuna — Getafe

Osasuna vs Getafe 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Osasuna
Osasuna
Home · last 5 W L L L D
Kick-off
Mon 31 Aug · 17:30
1:0
Full-time
Getafe
Getafe
D D L W L Away · last 5
Referee J. A. Gonzalez Esteban
Hit
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 48% · book 2.25 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 68% · book 1.53 ✓
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 57% · book 1.69 ✗
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.70 – 0.65
Δ +1.05
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 2.25 — +7.5% better than the market.

Osasuna hosts Getafe in a La Liga clash where tight defenses and cautious play are expected. Recent form slightly favors Getafe, who have edged Osasuna in scoring chances, but Osasuna's home resilience and compact block could stifle away attacks. The low expected goals and odds hint at a controlled tempo with limited goal opportunities.

  • Home side's solid defensive shape
  • Getafe's recent scoring signs
  • Likely low-scoring, tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 2.25 ✓ Cashed
AI 48% Implied 44% +1.25u
+125%
ROI on stake

Lineups

OSA 4-4-2 · GET 4-4-2
OSA · 4-4-2 4-4-2 · GET 1 Herrera 27 Arguibide 24 Catena 5 Herrando 23 Bretones 14 García 7 Moncayola 8 Muñoz 16 Gómez 10 Oroz 17 Budimir ⚽ 13 Soria 17 Femenía 2 Djené 24 Romero 22 Mojica 21 García 23 Mangala 16 Serrano 11 Terrats 19 Ünal 10 Satriano
Subs used · OSA
39' Boyomo ↑ · Herrando ↓
46' Dubasin ↑ · Garcia ↓
71' Garcia ↑ · Oroz ↓
71' Torro ↑ · Munoz ↓
77' Barja ↑ · Gomez ↓
Subs used · GET
65' R. Alcantara ↑ · Garcia ↓
76' Gudelj ↑ · Francho ↓
86' Mayoral ↑ · Satriano ↓

Statistics

OSA 1 – 0 GET
45%
Possession (%)
55%
1.70
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.65
10
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Target
1
4
Shots off Target
7
4
Shots Inside Box
7
1
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
17
Fouls
14
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
5
Yellow Cards
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

18 · 1 – 0
J. Herrando
Yellow Card
▮
17'
F. Boyomo ↓ · J. Herrando ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
39'
45'
▮
Djene
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
J. Dubasin ↓ · R. Garcia ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
A. Budimir (P)
Penalty · 1–0
⚽
45+2'
58'
▮
J. Mojica
Yellow Card
60'
▮
E. Unal
Yellow Card
65'
▮
O. Mangala
Yellow Card
65'
⇄
A. R. Alcantara ↓ · A. Garcia ↑
Substitution 1
I. Munoz
Yellow Card
▮
67'
R. Garcia ↓ · A. Oroz ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
71'
L. Torro ↓ · I. Munoz ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
71'
76'
⇄
N. Gudelj ↓ · Francho ↑
Substitution 2
K. Barja ↓ · M. Gomez ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
77'
R. Garcia
Yellow Card
▮
80'
86'
⇄
B. Mayoral ↓ · M. Satriano ↑
Substitution 3
S. Herrera
Yellow Card
▮
90+3'
K. Barja
Yellow Card
▮
90+4'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Osasuna beat Getafe 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.70 to 0.65. For discipline, the referee produced 9 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Budimir (45+2').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.63 units (Brier 0.133).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 1.5 2.25 2.20 48% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
BTTS No 1.53 1.52 68% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.69 1.67 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.13 2.15 44% Cashed +1.13 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.63 2.72 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.40 2.39 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 3.10 3.10 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.36 1.36 74% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Under 0.5 7.00 5.49 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.29 1.23 72% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Draw 3.15 2.85 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.55 1.67 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.65 4.13 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.15 1.10 89% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.53 1.49 44% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.13 1.13 81% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.95 6.49 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.63u −27% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
OSA – GET @ 2.25
+7.5%
Edge
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