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Home › Spain › La Liga › Alaves — Villarreal

Predictions by Market: Alaves vs Villarreal

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 W L L D L
Kick-off
Fri 28 Aug · 19:30
1:0
Full-time
Villarreal
Villarreal
L L W W L Away · last 5
Estadio de Mendizorroza · Victoria-Gasteiz Referee I. Diaz

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ALA
35%
Best 3.25
Draw
26%
Best 3.62
Away Win · VIL
39%
Best 2.32
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 1.67
Fair odds
1.50
book 1.67 · +11.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 67% · EV +11.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 38.8%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 44%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 35.4%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 35.8%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 44.5%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 85%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 15.1%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.7%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 33.3%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 35.4%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 44%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38.8%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
ALA – VIL @ 1.67
+11.4%
Edge
Forecast →