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Home Spain La Liga Alaves — Villarreal

Predictions Alaves vs Villarreal August 28, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 W D
Kick-off
Fri 28 Aug · 19:30
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Villarreal
Villarreal
D D Away · last 5
Home Win · ALA
35%
Best 3.19
Draw
26%
Best 3.62
Away Win · VIL
39%
Best 2.35
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 1.67
Fair odds
1.50
book 1.67 · +11.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 67% · EV +11.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 38.8%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 44%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 35.4%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 35.8%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 44.5%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 85%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 15.1%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.7%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No
Probability 33.3%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 35.4%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 44%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38.8%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.8%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
ALA – VIL @ 1.67
+11.4%
Edge
Forecast →