🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams to score — 67% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 64%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Alaves enter this La Liga clash with a slight home momentum, showing signs of sharper form compared to Villarreal's recent draws. The home side's ability to capitalize on set-pieces and maintain defensive solidity could challenge Villarreal's attack, which has struggled to convert chances consistently. Expect a competitive match with a moderate tempo, where Alaves' pressing edge and home comfort might tilt the balance.
- Alaves' recent wins suggest growing confidence at home
- Villarreal's draws hint at a compact but less clinical approach
- Moderate pace likely, favoring structured play over frantic pressing
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 39% | Villarreal win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 64% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 67% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 65% | X2 |
- 1X2 Villarreal win 39%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64%
- BTTS Yes 67%
- Double Chance X2 65%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Alaves
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
7 / 3
Avg goals / match
2.0
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
3/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
xG (for / against)
1.52 / 0.60
Villarreal
W/D/L
1-2-2
Goals (for / against)
11 / 10
Avg goals / match
4.2
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
xG (for / against)
1.75 / 1.26
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Alaves wins when scoring first
50%
①
Villarreal wins when scoring first
57%
⚽
Alaves BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
Villarreal BTTS rate · last 10
90%
↑
Alaves Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Villarreal Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
Alaves comeback rate · last 10
100%
↩
Villarreal comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Alaves · last 10 at home
0–15
27%
16–30
0%
31–45
13%
46–60
13%
61–75
20%
76–90
27%
Villarreal · last 10 away
0–15
9%
16–30
9%
31–45
36%
46–60
18%
61–75
9%
76–90
18%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.
