Match Athletic Club vs Sevilla August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.10 — +3.5% better than the market.

With limited recent form data, this La Liga opener between Athletic Club and Sevilla hints at a cautious encounter. The odds suggest a moderately low-scoring game, reflecting a likely compact defensive setup from both sides. Athletic's home advantage could provide a slight edge, but Sevilla's resilience on the road may keep the match tight.

Home side's familiarity with the pitch may boost confidence.
Both teams likely to prioritize defensive solidity early season.
Odds indicate a balanced contest with under 2.5 goals probable.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.10 ✓ Cashed

AI 49% Implied 48% +1.10u

+110%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BIL 4-2-3-1 · SEV 4-5-1

BIL · 4-2-3-1 4-5-1 · SEV

11 Guruzeta

Subs used · BIL

58'

Williams ↑ ·

Williams ↓

58'

Laporte ↑ ·

Areso ↓

58'

Sannadi ↑ ·

Guruzeta ↓

74'

Rincon ↑ ·

Paredes ↓

83'

Ruiz de Galarreta ↑ ·

Gerenabarrena ↓

Subs used · SEV

46'

Guilen ↑ ·

Peque ↓

46'

Ejuke ↑ ·

Sierra ↓

46'

Romero ↑ ·

Guridi ↓

68'

A. Carmona ↑ ·

Sangante ↓

78'

Diaz ↑ ·

Oso ↓

📊 Statistics

BIL 1 – 3 SEV

65%

Possession (%)

35%

1.25

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.41

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

22 · 1 – 3

Y. Berchiche

Red Card

▮

11'

15'

⚽

Oso

0–1

22'

▮

Peque

Yellow Card

G. Guruzeta

Yellow Card

▮

25'

▮

M. Sierra

Yellow Card

39'

▮

J. Guridi

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

46'

⇄

N. Guilen ↓ · Peque ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

C. Ejuke ↓ · M. Sierra ↑

Substitution 2

46'

⇄

I. Romero ↓ · J. Guridi ↑

Substitution 3

50'

⚽

C. Ejuke

Assist · I. Romero · 0–2

57'

⚽

I. Romero

Assist · Oso · 0–3

N. Williams ↓ · I. Williams ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

58'

A. Laporte ↓ · J. Areso ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

58'

M. Sannadi ↓ · G. Guruzeta ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

58'

68'

⇄

J. A. Carmona ↓ · A. Sangante ↑

Substitution 4

A. Paredes

Assist · Y. Alvarez · 1–3

⚽

70'

H. Rincon ↓ · A. Paredes ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

74'

78'

⇄

J. Diaz ↓ · Oso ↑

Substitution 5

I. Ruiz de Galarreta ↓ · B. Gerenabarrena ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

I. Ruiz de Galarreta

Yellow Card

▮

87'

90'

▮

I. Romero

Yellow Card

90+3'

▮

N. Guilen

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 3

Match recap

Sevilla won 3–1 away at Athletic Club. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.25 to 0.41. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 7, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 0.41 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Oso (15'), C. Ejuke (50'), I. Romero (57'), A. Paredes (70'). Y. Berchiche was sent off in the 11' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +4.26 units (Brier 0.308).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.10	2.10	49%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.67	1.67	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.20	2.25	43%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
BTTS No	1.73	1.69	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.03	2.08	46%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
Home Win	1.72	1.70	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.92	2.88	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.00	5.13	23%	Cashed	+4.00	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.23	1.21	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.38	1.40	68%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.98	4.00	24%	Cashed	+2.98	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	1.06	88%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.00	8.00	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.18	1.18	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.45	3.60	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.52	3.68	23%	Cashed	+2.52	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.26	1.25	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+4.26u	+25% ROI