Celta Vigo vs Osasuna 1:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.84 — +6.1% better than the market.

With limited recent form and performance data, this La Liga opener between Celta Vigo and Osasuna presents an open contest. The odds suggest a cautious approach with a slight lean towards a low-scoring game, hinting at a compact defensive setup from both sides. Home advantage may offer Celta some momentum, but Osasuna's resilience on the road could keep the match tight.

Both teams likely to prioritize defensive solidity
Home edge might spur Celta to press higher
Expect a measured pace with few clear-cut chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 3.84 ✓ Cashed

AI 28% Implied 26% +2.84u

+284%

ROI on stake

Lineups

CEL 3-4-3 · OSA 5-4-1

CEL · 3-4-3 5-4-1 · OSA

19 Swedberg

Subs used · CEL

52'

Starfelt ↑ ·

Aspas ↓

65'

Carreira ↑ ·

Galan ↓

65'

Alvarez ↑ ·

Rueda ↓

65'

El Abdellaoui ↑ ·

Swedberg ↓

79'

Jutgla ↑ ·

Duran ↓

Subs used · OSA

46'

Munoz ↑ ·

Moncayola ↓

58'

Budimir ↑ ·

Dubasin ↓

58'

Garcia ↑ ·

Herrando ↓

74'

Gomez ↑ ·

Barja ↓

82'

Oroz ↑ ·

Garcia ↓

Statistics

CEL 1 – 2 OSA

52%

Possession (%)

48%

0.13

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.68

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 1 – 2

I. Aspas

Assist · M. Roman · 1–0

⚽

14'

27'

▮

J. Moncayola

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

I. Munoz ↓ · J. Moncayola ↑

Substitution 1

M. Alonso

Red Card

▮

51'

C. Starfelt ↓ · I. Aspas ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

52'

54'

⚽

K. Barja

Assist · R. Garcia · 1–1

58'

⇄

A. Budimir ↓ · J. Dubasin ↑

Substitution 2

58'

⇄

R. Garcia ↓ · J. Herrando ↑

Substitution 3

64'

⚽

A. Budimir (P)

Penalty · 1–2

S. Carreira ↓ · J. Galan ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

65'

H. Alvarez ↓ · J. Rueda ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

65'

J. El Abdellaoui ↓ · W. Swedberg ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

65'

74'

⇄

M. Gomez ↓ · K. Barja ↑

Substitution 4

F. Jutgla ↓ · P. Duran ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

79'

82'

⇄

A. Oroz ↓ · R. Garcia ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Osasuna won 2–1 away at Celta Vigo. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.68 to 0.13. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 4, 5 on target.

On the scoresheet: I. Aspas (14'), K. Barja (54'), A. Budimir (64'). M. Alonso was sent off in the 51' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.08 units (Brier 0.217).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.78	1.81	55%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.73	1.62	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.10	2.30	45%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.85	1.97	50%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
BTTS No	1.85	1.78	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.00	1.98	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.74	2.99	28%	Cashed	+1.74	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.12	2.88	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.84	4.13	28%	Cashed	+2.84	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.49	1.42	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.34	1.40	70%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.24	1.20	76%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.86	4.33	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	1.07	90%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	7.52	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.25	1.23	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.30	3.34	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.08u	−6% ROI

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled