Barcelona vs Athletic Club 2:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.44 — +9.9% better than the market.

Barcelona enters this La Liga clash with strong home momentum, having won their last match while Athletic Club is coming off a loss. The Camp Nou advantage and Barcelona's recent form suggest they will control the tempo and press high. Expect a lively encounter with both teams likely to find the net, given the attacking tendencies and the odds favoring over 2.5 goals.

Home edge in form and venue
Attacking pressure from Barcelona
Potential for goals at both ends

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.44 ✗ Lost

AI 76% Implied 69% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

BAR 4-3-3 · BIL 4-2-3-1

BAR · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · BIL

17 Gordon

Subs used · BAR

63'

Rodri ↑ ·

Raphinha ↓

63'

Olmo ↑ ·

Bernal ↓

80'

Kounde ↑ ·

Garcia ↓

80'

Adeyemi ↑ ·

Gordon ↓

85'

Cancelo ↑ ·

Pedri ↓

Subs used · BIL

60'

Berenguer ↑ ·

Williams ↓

60'

Navarro ↑ ·

Williams ↓

70'

Boiro ↑ ·

Louis-Jean ↓

70'

Gerenabarrena ↑ ·

Jauregizar ↓

81'

Djalo ↑ ·

Guruzeta ↓

Statistics

BAR 2 – 0 BIL

71%

Possession (%)

29%

3.90

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.22

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

90%

Pass Accuracy (%)

72%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 2 – 0

X. Espart

Yellow Card

▮

27'

Raphinha

Assist · Pedri · 1–0

⚽

37'

Half-time · 1 – 0

48'

▮

G. Guruzeta

Yellow Card

60'

⇄

A. Berenguer ↓ · I. Williams ↑

Substitution 1

60'

⇄

R. Navarro ↓ · N. Williams ↑

Substitution 2

61'

▮

J. Louis-Jean

Yellow Card

Rodri ↓ · Raphinha ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

D. Olmo ↓ · M. Bernal ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

70'

⇄

A. Boiro ↓ · J. Louis-Jean ↑

Substitution 3

70'

⇄

B. Gerenabarrena ↓ · M. Jauregizar ↑

Substitution 4

J. Kounde ↓ · E. Garcia ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

80'

K. Adeyemi ↓ · A. Gordon ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

80'

81'

⇄

A. Djalo ↓ · G. Guruzeta ↑

Substitution 5

Fermin

2–0

⚽

82'

J. Cancelo ↓ · Pedri ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Barcelona beat Athletic Club 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 71% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.90 to 0.22. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 4, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 12 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Raphinha (37'), Fermin (82').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.84 units (Brier 0.188).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	1.91	1.91	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.73	1.75	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.02	1.98	38%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.91	1.91	38%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.70	3.10	24%	Cashed	+1.70	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.44	1.36	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	9.23	12.20	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	4.32	4.31	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.45	7.19	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.08	1.05	82%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Home Win	1.21	1.21	69%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.09	1.08	64%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.13	1.08	91%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Draw	5.82	6.99	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.01	97%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 0.5	20.50	26.32	3%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.70	6.54	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.84u	−28% ROI

Barcelona vs Athletic Club 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled