Ipswich vs Fulham 2:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.20 — +15.0% better than the market.

Ipswich holds a clear quality edge over Fulham, supported by stronger recent form and a notable home momentum. Ipswich's attacking play is likely to challenge Fulham's defense, which has shown vulnerability, while Fulham's offense may struggle against Ipswich's compact defensive block. The pace of the game could lean towards a controlled tempo, favoring Ipswich's structured approach.

Home advantage with better form and quality
Ipswich's offense vs Fulham's defense mismatch
Likely moderate tempo, favoring defensive solidity

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.20 ✗ Lost

AI 52% Implied 45% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

IPS 4-2-3-1 · FUL 4-2-3-1

IPS · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · FUL

19 Emersonn

Subs used · IPS

63'

Palacios ↑ ·

Luís ↓

63'

Clarke ↑ ·

Philogene-Bidace ↓

71'

Akpom ↑ ·

Enciso ↓

71'

Flemming ↑ ·

Emersonn ↓

81'

Egeli ↑ ·

Maeda ↓

Subs used · FUL

71'

Morán ↑ ·

Charles ↓

76'

Muniz ↑ ·

King ↓

76'

Macedo ↑ ·

Bobb ↓

87'

Larsson ↑ ·

García ↓

87'

Rowe ↑ ·

Iwobi ↓

Statistics

IPS 2 – 1 FUL

48%

Possession (%)

52%

1.22

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.87

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

19 · 2 – 1

Leif Davis

Yellow Card

▮

19'

44'

▮

Josh King

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

51'

▮

Calvin Bassey

Yellow Card

55'

⚽

Ryan Sessegnon

0–1

Exequiel Palacios ↓ · Florentino Luís ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

Jack Clarke ↓ · Jaden Philogene-Bidace ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

Chuba Akpom ↓ · Julio Enciso ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

Zian Flemming ↓ · Emersonn ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

71'

⇄

Manuel Ángel Morán ↓ · Shea Charles ↑

Substitution 1

76'

⇄

Rodrigo Muniz ↓ · Josh King ↑

Substitution 2

76'

⇄

Kevin Santos Lopes de Macedo ↓ · Oscar Bobb ↑

Substitution 3

Sindre Walle Egeli ↓ · Daizen Maeda ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

81'

84'

▮

Manuel Ángel Morán

Yellow Card

87'

⇄

Hugo Larsson ↓ · Gonzalo García ↑

Substitution 4

87'

⇄

Emile Smith Rowe ↓ · Alex Iwobi ↑

Substitution 5

Abdoul Ouattara

1–1

⚽

88'

Dara O'Shea

Assist · Jack Clarke · 2–1

⚽

90+1'

90+4'

▮

Emile Smith Rowe

Yellow Card

Christian Walton

Yellow Card

▮

90+7'

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Ipswich beat Fulham 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.87 to 1.22. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Ryan Sessegnon (55'), Abdoul Ouattara (88'), Dara O'Shea (90+1').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.70 units (Brier 0.168).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.73	2.79	43%	Cashed	+1.73	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.00	2.10	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.20	2.29	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.01	2.02	43%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.61	1.57	48%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.80	1.73	43%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Away Win	2.48	2.50	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.90	1.87	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.53	1.52	69%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Under 0.5	12.00	12.99	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.00	4.20	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.39	1.40	78%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.44	1.42	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.90	2.76	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	1.02	88%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	3.45	3.40	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	1.20	67%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.70u	−22% ROI

Ipswich vs Fulham 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled